Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Lyko Group AB (publ) (STO:LYKO A) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Lyko Group
How Much Debt Does Lyko Group Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Lyko Group had kr60.4m of debt in December 2020, down from kr70.1m, one year before. On the flip side, it has kr37.9m in cash leading to net debt of about kr22.5m.
How Healthy Is Lyko Group's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Lyko Group had liabilities of kr399.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of kr205.1m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of kr37.9m and kr41.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total kr525.5m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Of course, Lyko Group has a market capitalization of kr4.68b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Carrying virtually no net debt, Lyko Group has a very light debt load indeed.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Given net debt is only 0.18 times EBITDA, it is initially surprising to see that Lyko Group's EBIT has low interest coverage of 1.5 times. So while we're not necessarily alarmed we think that its debt is far from trivial. Importantly, Lyko Group grew its EBIT by 97% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Lyko Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last two years, Lyko Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
Our View
Happily, Lyko Group's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its interest cover. Zooming out, Lyko Group seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Lyko Group's earnings per share history for free.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About OM:LYKO A
Lyko Group
Sells a range of hair care and beauty products in the Nordic markets.
Reasonable growth potential and fair value.