Stock Analysis

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Boliden (STO:BOL) Presents An Opportunity

OM:BOL
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Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks' without any revenue, let alone profit. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.' Loss making companies can act like a sponge for capital - so investors should be cautious that they're not throwing good money after bad.

Despite being in the age of tech-stock blue-sky investing, many investors still adopt a more traditional strategy; buying shares in profitable companies like Boliden (STO:BOL). Even if this company is fairly valued by the market, investors would agree that generating consistent profits will continue to provide Boliden with the means to add long-term value to shareholders.

View our latest analysis for Boliden

How Fast Is Boliden Growing?

If a company can keep growing earnings per share (EPS) long enough, its share price should eventually follow. So it makes sense that experienced investors pay close attention to company EPS when undertaking investment research. Shareholders will be happy to know that Boliden's EPS has grown 30% each year, compound, over three years. As a general rule, we'd say that if a company can keep up that sort of growth, shareholders will be beaming. Getting in to the the finer details, it important to know that the EPS growth has been helped by share buybacks, demonstrating that the business is positioned to return capital to its shareholders.

It's often helpful to take a look at earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margins, as well as revenue growth, to get another take on the quality of the company's growth. While we note Boliden achieved similar EBIT margins to last year, revenue grew by a solid 15% to kr85b. That's progress.

The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time. To see the actual numbers, click on the chart.

earnings-and-revenue-history
OM:BOL Earnings and Revenue History June 7th 2023

Fortunately, we've got access to analyst forecasts of Boliden's future profits. You can do your own forecasts without looking, or you can take a peek at what the professionals are predicting.

Are Boliden Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Investors are always searching for a vote of confidence in the companies they hold and insider buying is one of the key indicators for optimism on the market. Because often, the purchase of stock is a sign that the buyer views it as undervalued. Of course, we can never be sure what insiders are thinking, we can only judge their actions.

Shareholders in Boliden will be more than happy to see insiders committing themselves to the company, spending kr2.5m on shares in just twelve months. This, combined with the lack of sales from insiders, should be a great signal for shareholders in what's to come. It is also worth noting that it was President & CEO Mikael Staffas who made the biggest single purchase, worth kr940k, paying kr437 per share.

It's reassuring that Boliden insiders are buying the stock, but that's not the only reason to think management are fair to shareholders. Specifically, the CEO is paid quite reasonably for a company of this size. For companies with market capitalisations between kr44b and kr131b, like Boliden, the median CEO pay is around kr26m.

Boliden's CEO took home a total compensation package worth kr18m in the year leading up to December 2022. That is actually below the median for CEO's of similarly sized companies. While the level of CEO compensation shouldn't be the biggest factor in how the company is viewed, modest remuneration is a positive, because it suggests that the board keeps shareholder interests in mind. It can also be a sign of a culture of integrity, in a broader sense.

Is Boliden Worth Keeping An Eye On?

If you believe that share price follows earnings per share you should definitely be delving further into Boliden's strong EPS growth. And that's not the only positive either. We have both insider buying and reasonable and remuneration to consider. On balance the message seems to be that this stock is worth looking at, at least for a while. You still need to take note of risks, for example - Boliden has 2 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. So if you like the sound of Boliden, you'll probably love this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Boliden is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.