Boliden Valuation
Is BOL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
5/6Valuation Score 5/6
Below Future Cash Flow Value
Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of BOL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
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Below Future Cash Flow Value: BOL (SEK522.4) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (SEK1016.43)
Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: BOL is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BOL?
Key metric: As BOL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is BOL's PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 11.7x |
| Earnings | SEK 12.68b |
| Market Cap | SEK 148.34b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1.6x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 6.3x |
| PEG Ratio | 1.3x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does BOL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 26.7x | ||
SSAB A SSAB | 18.8x | 16.38% | SEK 104.2b |
SCA B Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget | 37.9x | 17.83% | SEK 84.1b |
ALLEI Alleima | 31.7x | 19.02% | SEK 28.9b |
HOLM B Holmen | 18.4x | 2.16% | SEK 48.5b |
BOL Boliden | 11.7x | 8.71% | SEK 148.3b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BOL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the peer average (26.7x).
Historical Price to Earnings Ratio
Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.
Fetching historical data
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does BOL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?
| 18 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BOL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (14.6x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is BOL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 11.7x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 23.7x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BOL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.7x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | SEK 522.40 | SEK 542.73 +3.89% | 10.43% | SEK 690.00 | SEK 470.00 | n/a | 15 |
| Sep ’27 | SEK 551.20 | SEK 540.73 -1.90% | 10.45% | SEK 690.00 | SEK 470.00 | n/a | 15 |
| Aug ’27 | SEK 476.80 | SEK 539.94 +13.24% | 10.93% | SEK 690.00 | SEK 448.00 | n/a | 18 |
| Jul ’27 | SEK 541.00 | SEK 565.78 +4.58% | 9.83% | SEK 670.00 | SEK 468.00 | n/a | 18 |
| Jun ’27 | SEK 572.40 | SEK 551.76 -3.61% | 9.98% | SEK 650.00 | SEK 430.00 | n/a | 17 |
| May ’27 | SEK 480.10 | SEK 544.47 +13.41% | 9.24% | SEK 650.00 | SEK 430.00 | n/a | 17 |
| Apr ’27 | SEK 514.00 | SEK 562.06 +9.35% | 10.67% | SEK 700.00 | SEK 470.00 | n/a | 16 |
| Mar ’27 | SEK 717.40 | SEK 612.94 -14.56% | 11.99% | SEK 770.00 | SEK 470.00 | n/a | 16 |
| Feb ’27 | SEK 626.60 | SEK 518.44 -17.26% | 16.31% | SEK 640.00 | SEK 330.00 | n/a | 16 |
| Jan ’27 | SEK 515.20 | SEK 447.60 -13.12% | 15.83% | SEK 550.00 | SEK 330.00 | n/a | 15 |
| Dec ’26 | SEK 456.40 | SEK 414.73 -9.13% | 12.94% | SEK 500.00 | SEK 320.00 | n/a | 15 |
| Nov ’26 | SEK 429.00 | SEK 391.07 -8.84% | 13.38% | SEK 475.00 | SEK 300.00 | n/a | 15 |
| Oct ’26 | SEK 386.00 | SEK 327.20 -15.23% | 12.63% | SEK 405.00 | SEK 250.00 | n/a | 15 |
| Sep ’26 | SEK 325.20 | SEK 310.07 -4.65% | 10.30% | SEK 350.00 | SEK 250.00 | SEK 551.20 | 15 |
| Aug ’26 | SEK 298.30 | SEK 310.73 +4.17% | 9.64% | SEK 350.00 | SEK 250.00 | SEK 476.80 | 15 |
| Jul ’26 | SEK 297.50 | SEK 316.53 +6.40% | 11.57% | SEK 400.00 | SEK 250.00 | SEK 541.00 | 15 |
| Jun ’26 | SEK 299.90 | SEK 327.38 +9.16% | 15.95% | SEK 480.00 | SEK 250.00 | SEK 572.40 | 16 |
| May ’26 | SEK 296.10 | SEK 325.69 +9.99% | 16.05% | SEK 480.00 | SEK 250.00 | SEK 480.10 | 16 |
| Apr ’26 | SEK 327.90 | SEK 351.87 +7.31% | 16.00% | SEK 500.00 | SEK 260.00 | SEK 514.00 | 15 |
| Mar ’26 | SEK 376.00 | SEK 354.86 -5.62% | 14.64% | SEK 490.00 | SEK 290.00 | SEK 717.40 | 14 |
| Feb ’26 | SEK 333.40 | SEK 342.50 +2.73% | 13.58% | SEK 470.00 | SEK 290.00 | SEK 626.60 | 14 |
| Jan ’26 | SEK 310.50 | SEK 335.21 +7.96% | 15.78% | SEK 460.00 | SEK 270.00 | SEK 515.20 | 14 |
| Dec ’25 | SEK 325.40 | SEK 329.88 +1.38% | 16.92% | SEK 480.00 | SEK 265.00 | SEK 456.40 | 16 |
| Nov ’25 | SEK 332.40 | SEK 326.63 -1.74% | 17.36% | SEK 480.00 | SEK 265.00 | SEK 429.00 | 16 |
| Oct ’25 | SEK 342.30 | SEK 333.80 -2.48% | 15.60% | SEK 450.00 | SEK 270.00 | SEK 386.00 | 15 |
| Sep ’25 | SEK 314.00 | SEK 340.00 +8.28% | 14.03% | SEK 450.00 | SEK 273.00 | SEK 325.20 | 16 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/09/16 22:52 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/09/16 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Boliden AB (publ) is covered by 29 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| null null | ABG Sundal Collier |
| "Amos Fletcher | Barclays |
| Amos Fletcher | Barclays |