Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ)

OM:SCA B Stock Report

Market Cap: SEK 100.2b

Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget Valuation

Is SCA B undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SCA B when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
SEK 68.28
Fair Value
109.0% overvalued intrinsic discount
12
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: SCA B (SEK142.7) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SEK68.28)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SCA B is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SCA B?

Key metric: As SCA B is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SCA B. This is calculated by dividing SCA B's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SCA B's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio27.5x
EarningsSEK 3.64b
Market CapSEK 100.24b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SCA B's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SCA B vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.1x
HOLM B Holmen
23.5x8.3%SEK 67.0b
BOL Boliden
9.9x6.3%SEK 99.4b
SSAB A SSAB
11x6.1%SEK 71.1b
HPOL B HEXPOL
15.9x7.2%SEK 35.3b
SCA B Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget
27.5x12.5%SEK 100.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SCA B is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.5x) compared to the peer average (15.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SCA B's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Forestry Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SCA B 27.5xIndustry Avg. 16.1xNo. of Companies8PE01224364860+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SCA B is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.5x) compared to the European Forestry industry average (16.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SCA B's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SCA B PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio27.5x
Fair PE Ratio19.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SCA B is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SCA B forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentSEK 142.70
SEK 157.75
+10.5%
12.0%SEK 190.00SEK 120.00n/a12
Mar ’26SEK 147.40
SEK 158.00
+7.2%
11.6%SEK 190.00SEK 120.00n/a13
Feb ’26SEK 152.80
SEK 155.77
+1.9%
10.5%SEK 185.00SEK 130.00n/a13
Jan ’26SEK 140.45
SEK 154.85
+10.3%
12.5%SEK 185.00SEK 109.00n/a13
Dec ’25SEK 141.70
SEK 155.62
+9.8%
12.9%SEK 185.00SEK 109.00n/a13
Nov ’25SEK 140.40
SEK 154.00
+9.7%
15.1%SEK 185.00SEK 109.00n/a12
Oct ’25SEK 147.50
SEK 154.33
+4.6%
16.0%SEK 180.00SEK 101.00n/a12
Sep ’25SEK 142.55
SEK 156.46
+9.8%
14.7%SEK 185.00SEK 112.00n/a13
Aug ’25SEK 143.00
SEK 159.69
+11.7%
14.9%SEK 185.00SEK 110.00n/a13
Jul ’25SEK 156.05
SEK 160.75
+3.0%
17.0%SEK 190.00SEK 105.00n/a12
Jun ’25SEK 160.85
SEK 160.17
-0.4%
17.5%SEK 190.00SEK 105.00n/a12
May ’25SEK 162.05
SEK 160.17
-1.2%
17.5%SEK 190.00SEK 105.00n/a12
Apr ’25SEK 164.30
SEK 154.58
-5.9%
16.8%SEK 185.00SEK 100.00n/a12
Mar ’25SEK 146.70
SEK 156.00
+6.3%
13.2%SEK 180.00SEK 100.00SEK 147.4011
Feb ’25SEK 140.35
SEK 156.82
+11.7%
13.4%SEK 180.00SEK 100.00SEK 152.8011
Jan ’25SEK 151.10
SEK 158.45
+4.9%
11.9%SEK 185.00SEK 112.00SEK 140.4511
Dec ’24SEK 157.80
SEK 161.90
+2.6%
13.1%SEK 190.00SEK 112.00SEK 141.7010
Nov ’24SEK 154.20
SEK 159.50
+3.4%
13.8%SEK 190.00SEK 112.00SEK 140.4010
Oct ’24SEK 149.95
SEK 154.33
+2.9%
14.8%SEK 185.00SEK 109.00SEK 147.509
Sep ’24SEK 145.85
SEK 154.33
+5.8%
14.5%SEK 185.00SEK 111.00SEK 142.559
Aug ’24SEK 139.50
SEK 154.33
+10.6%
14.5%SEK 185.00SEK 111.00SEK 143.009
Jul ’24SEK 137.45
SEK 157.00
+14.2%
12.8%SEK 190.00SEK 122.00SEK 156.059
Jun ’24SEK 145.65
SEK 155.56
+6.8%
14.5%SEK 190.00SEK 110.00SEK 160.859
May ’24SEK 140.45
SEK 152.56
+8.6%
14.8%SEK 190.00SEK 110.00SEK 162.059
Apr ’24SEK 136.45
SEK 156.50
+14.7%
17.7%SEK 208.00SEK 110.00SEK 164.308
Mar ’24SEK 146.30
SEK 164.57
+12.5%
14.5%SEK 208.00SEK 134.00SEK 146.707
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
SEK 157.75
Fair Value
9.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
12
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/03/19 07:51
End of Day Share Price 2025/03/19 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) is covered by 36 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullABG Sundal Collier
Varun SikkaAlphaValue
Pierre-Yves GauthierAlphaValue