HEXPOL AB (publ)

OM:HPOL B Stock Report

Market Cap: SEK 25.0b

HEXPOL Valuation

Is HPOL B undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of HPOL B when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: HPOL B (SEK74.1) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (SEK144.85)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: HPOL B is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HPOL B?

Key metric: As HPOL B is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HPOL B. This is calculated by dividing HPOL B's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HPOL B's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.1x
EarningsSEK 1.94b
Market CapSEK 24.99b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HPOL B's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HPOL B vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.7x
KBC KB Components
25.5x19.50%SEK 2.4b
ITECH I-Tech
16.4x29.02%SEK 536.3m
BILL Billerud
27.7x29.17%SEK 19.7b
ALLEI Alleima
29.3x23.32%SEK 19.2b
HPOL B HEXPOL
13.1x2.90%SEK 25.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HPOL B is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the peer average (24.7x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HPOL B's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Chemicals Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HPOL B 13.1xIndustry Avg. 19.0xNo. of Companies13PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HPOL B is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the European Chemicals industry average (19x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HPOL B's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HPOL B PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.1x
Fair PE Ratio15.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HPOL B is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HPOL B forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentSEK 74.10
SEK 85.20
+14.98%
6.94%SEK 90.00SEK 74.00n/a5
Feb ’27SEK 72.70
SEK 89.40
+22.97%
3.78%SEK 95.00SEK 85.00n/a5
Jan ’27SEK 87.95
SEK 99.00
+12.56%
4.23%SEK 106.00SEK 95.00n/a4
Dec ’26SEK 86.80
SEK 98.75
+13.77%
4.49%SEK 106.00SEK 94.00n/a4
Nov ’26SEK 86.55
SEK 98.75
+14.10%
4.49%SEK 106.00SEK 94.00n/a4
Oct ’26SEK 85.20
SEK 104.00
+22.07%
6.73%SEK 115.00SEK 97.00n/a4
Sep ’26SEK 84.80
SEK 104.00
+22.64%
6.73%SEK 115.00SEK 97.00n/a4
Aug ’26SEK 82.70
SEK 104.00
+25.76%
6.73%SEK 115.00SEK 97.00n/a4
Jul ’26SEK 91.80
SEK 105.25
+14.65%
6.10%SEK 115.00SEK 99.00n/a4
Jun ’26SEK 89.10
SEK 101.75
+14.20%
7.59%SEK 115.00SEK 96.00n/a4
May ’26SEK 83.70
SEK 100.00
+19.47%
9.25%SEK 115.00SEK 90.00n/a4
Apr ’26SEK 89.00
SEK 115.00
+29.21%
7.63%SEK 130.00SEK 108.00n/a4
Mar ’26SEK 105.00
SEK 116.50
+10.95%
7.12%SEK 130.00SEK 108.00SEK 77.604
Feb ’26SEK 103.90
SEK 117.25
+12.85%
6.81%SEK 130.00SEK 108.00SEK 72.704
Jan ’26SEK 102.80
SEK 121.80
+18.48%
6.00%SEK 131.00SEK 114.00SEK 87.955
Dec ’25SEK 105.70
SEK 125.67
+18.89%
8.69%SEK 145.00SEK 114.00SEK 86.806
Nov ’25SEK 103.00
SEK 128.00
+24.27%
7.83%SEK 145.00SEK 114.00SEK 86.556
Oct ’25SEK 105.60
SEK 134.60
+27.46%
7.67%SEK 147.00SEK 119.00SEK 85.205
Sep ’25SEK 115.80
SEK 136.33
+17.73%
7.48%SEK 147.00SEK 119.00SEK 84.806
Aug ’25SEK 116.30
SEK 138.00
+18.66%
5.61%SEK 147.00SEK 129.00SEK 82.706
Jul ’25SEK 119.80
SEK 140.50
+17.28%
5.49%SEK 150.00SEK 129.00SEK 91.806
Jun ’25SEK 128.20
SEK 140.17
+9.33%
5.79%SEK 150.00SEK 129.00SEK 89.106
May ’25SEK 126.00
SEK 136.67
+8.47%
10.48%SEK 150.00SEK 108.00SEK 83.706
Apr ’25SEK 130.60
SEK 132.17
+1.20%
9.66%SEK 147.00SEK 108.00SEK 89.006
Mar ’25SEK 121.90
SEK 132.17
+8.42%
9.66%SEK 147.00SEK 108.00SEK 105.006
SEK 85.2
Fair Value
13.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
5
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/03/04 21:14
End of Day Share Price 2026/03/04 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

HEXPOL AB (publ) is covered by 9 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullABG Sundal Collier
Fabian WeinstockBerenberg
Andres Castanos-MollorBerenberg