Alleima Valuation

Is ALLEI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ALLEI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ALLEI (SEK69.25) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK128.21)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ALLEI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALLEI?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ALLEI key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.5x
PEG Ratio0.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ALLEI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ALLEI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.3x
4.9x-7.6%SEK 49.6b
GRNG Gränges
13x21.6%SEK 12.8b
BILL Billerud
40.9x31.7%SEK 28.7b
HPOL B HEXPOL
14.5x5.4%SEK 36.1b
ALLEI Alleima
14.1x16.1%SEK 17.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ALLEI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.1x) compared to the peer average (18.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ALLEI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ALLEI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.1x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (13.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ALLEI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ALLEI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.1x
Fair PE Ratio17.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ALLEI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ALLEI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentSEK 69.25
SEK 80.00
+15.5%
6.3%SEK 85.00SEK 75.00n/a2
Aug ’25SEK 74.55
SEK 79.33
+6.4%
10.1%SEK 85.00SEK 68.00n/a3
Jul ’25SEK 71.45
SEK 72.67
+1.7%
7.2%SEK 80.00SEK 68.00n/a3
Jun ’25SEK 71.60
SEK 72.67
+1.5%
5.1%SEK 77.00SEK 68.00n/a3
May ’25SEK 69.00
SEK 72.67
+5.3%
5.1%SEK 77.00SEK 68.00n/a3
Apr ’25SEK 72.14
SEK 74.67
+3.5%
8.4%SEK 83.00SEK 68.00n/a3
Mar ’25SEK 68.90
SEK 76.00
+10.3%
7.7%SEK 83.00SEK 68.00n/a4
Feb ’25SEK 69.50
SEK 77.50
+11.5%
7.3%SEK 83.00SEK 68.00n/a4
Jan ’25SEK 76.62
SEK 75.25
-1.8%
6.3%SEK 80.00SEK 70.00n/a4
Dec ’24SEK 77.46
SEK 75.25
-2.9%
6.3%SEK 80.00SEK 70.00n/a4
Nov ’24SEK 68.90
SEK 71.50
+3.8%
7.2%SEK 80.00SEK 66.00n/a4
Oct ’24SEK 57.36
SEK 67.00
+16.8%
9.2%SEK 75.00SEK 60.00n/a3
Sep ’24SEK 51.24
SEK 67.00
+30.8%
9.2%SEK 75.00SEK 60.00SEK 76.903
Aug ’24SEK 45.99
SEK 67.00
+45.7%
9.2%SEK 75.00SEK 60.00SEK 74.553
Jul ’24SEK 49.06
SEK 67.00
+36.6%
9.2%SEK 75.00SEK 60.00SEK 71.453
Jun ’24SEK 44.86
SEK 67.00
+49.4%
9.2%SEK 75.00SEK 60.00SEK 71.603
May ’24SEK 52.58
SEK 66.33
+26.2%
9.6%SEK 75.00SEK 60.00SEK 69.003
Apr ’24SEK 51.22
SEK 62.67
+22.3%
10.5%SEK 70.00SEK 54.00SEK 72.143
Mar ’24SEK 56.04
SEK 62.00
+10.6%
12.9%SEK 70.00SEK 54.00SEK 68.902
Feb ’24SEK 52.00
SEK 62.00
+19.2%
12.9%SEK 70.00SEK 54.00SEK 69.502
Jan ’24SEK 38.42
SEK 57.00
+48.4%
12.3%SEK 64.00SEK 50.00SEK 76.622
Dec ’23SEK 40.90
SEK 57.00
+39.4%
12.3%SEK 64.00SEK 50.00SEK 77.462
Nov ’23SEK 38.71
SEK 57.00
+47.2%
12.3%SEK 64.00SEK 50.00SEK 68.902
Oct ’23SEK 34.80
SEK 60.00
+72.4%
16.7%SEK 70.00SEK 50.00SEK 57.362

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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