Alleima AB (publ)

OM:ALLEI Stock Report

Market Cap: SEK 23.7b

Alleima Valuation

Is ALLEI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ALLEI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
SEK 149.07
Fair Value
36.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
4
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: ALLEI (SEK94.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK149.07)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ALLEI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALLEI?

Key metric: As ALLEI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ALLEI. This is calculated by dividing ALLEI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ALLEI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.4x
EarningsSEK 1.22b
Market CapSEK 23.72b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ALLEI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ALLEI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.4x
SSAB A SSAB
9.8x6.2%SEK 63.9b
GRNG Gränges
14.2x16.5%SEK 14.4b
BILL Billerud
17.2x14.0%SEK 30.0b
HPOL B HEXPOL
16.4x7.2%SEK 36.4b
ALLEI Alleima
19.4x18.6%SEK 23.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ALLEI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.4x) compared to the peer average (14.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ALLEI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

15 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ALLEI 19.4xIndustry Avg. 12.3xNo. of Companies15PE0816243240+
15 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ALLEI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.4x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (11.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ALLEI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ALLEI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.4x
Fair PE Ratio22.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ALLEI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ALLEI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentSEK 94.80
SEK 101.00
+6.5%
8.5%SEK 115.00SEK 92.00n/a4
Feb ’26SEK 92.25
SEK 100.50
+8.9%
9.1%SEK 115.00SEK 90.00n/a4
Jan ’26SEK 75.10
SEK 82.33
+9.6%
12.2%SEK 96.00SEK 72.00n/a3
Dec ’25SEK 76.45
SEK 82.33
+7.7%
12.2%SEK 96.00SEK 72.00n/a3
Nov ’25SEK 64.35
SEK 78.50
+22.0%
8.3%SEK 85.00SEK 72.00n/a2
Oct ’25SEK 71.55
SEK 80.00
+11.8%
6.3%SEK 85.00SEK 75.00n/a2
Aug ’25SEK 74.55
SEK 79.33
+6.4%
10.1%SEK 85.00SEK 68.00n/a3
Jul ’25SEK 71.45
SEK 72.67
+1.7%
7.2%SEK 80.00SEK 68.00n/a3
Jun ’25SEK 71.60
SEK 72.67
+1.5%
5.1%SEK 77.00SEK 68.00n/a3
May ’25SEK 69.00
SEK 72.67
+5.3%
5.1%SEK 77.00SEK 68.00n/a3
Apr ’25SEK 72.14
SEK 74.67
+3.5%
8.4%SEK 83.00SEK 68.00n/a3
Mar ’25SEK 68.90
SEK 76.00
+10.3%
7.7%SEK 83.00SEK 68.00n/a4
Feb ’25SEK 69.50
SEK 77.50
+11.5%
7.3%SEK 83.00SEK 68.00SEK 92.254
Jan ’25SEK 76.62
SEK 75.25
-1.8%
6.3%SEK 80.00SEK 70.00SEK 75.104
Dec ’24SEK 77.46
SEK 75.25
-2.9%
6.3%SEK 80.00SEK 70.00SEK 76.454
Nov ’24SEK 68.90
SEK 71.50
+3.8%
7.2%SEK 80.00SEK 66.00SEK 64.354
Oct ’24SEK 57.36
SEK 67.00
+16.8%
9.2%SEK 75.00SEK 60.00SEK 71.553
Sep ’24SEK 51.24
SEK 67.00
+30.8%
9.2%SEK 75.00SEK 60.00SEK 76.903
Aug ’24SEK 45.99
SEK 67.00
+45.7%
9.2%SEK 75.00SEK 60.00SEK 74.553
Jul ’24SEK 49.06
SEK 67.00
+36.6%
9.2%SEK 75.00SEK 60.00SEK 71.453
Jun ’24SEK 44.86
SEK 67.00
+49.4%
9.2%SEK 75.00SEK 60.00SEK 71.603
May ’24SEK 52.58
SEK 66.33
+26.2%
9.6%SEK 75.00SEK 60.00SEK 69.003
Apr ’24SEK 51.22
SEK 62.67
+22.3%
10.5%SEK 70.00SEK 54.00SEK 72.143
Mar ’24SEK 56.04
SEK 62.00
+10.6%
12.9%SEK 70.00SEK 54.00SEK 68.902
Feb ’24SEK 52.00
SEK 62.00
+19.2%
12.9%SEK 70.00SEK 54.00SEK 69.502
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
SEK 101.00
Fair Value
6.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
4
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/21 14:03
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/21 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Alleima AB (publ) is covered by 6 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullABG Sundal Collier
Patrick MannBofA Global Research
Viktor TrollstenDanske Bank