Gränges Valuation

Is GRNG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GRNG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GRNG (SEK130.9) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK207.66)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GRNG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GRNG?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

GRNG key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.5x
PEG Ratio0.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GRNG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GRNG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average45.3x
PROF B ProfilGruppen
9.2xn/akr913.7m
ALLEI Alleima
21.3x27.1%kr17.3b
BILL Billerud
145.3x42.7%kr23.0b
5.2x-19.2%kr62.1b
GRNG Gränges
14x16.1%kr13.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GRNG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14x) compared to the peer average (45.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GRNG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GRNG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (12.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GRNG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GRNG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14x
Fair PE Ratio17.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GRNG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GRNG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentkr130.90
kr146.67
+12.0%
10.5%kr160.00kr125.00n/a3
Apr ’25kr115.80
kr123.33
+6.5%
1.9%kr125.00kr120.00n/a3
Mar ’25kr103.10
kr117.50
+14.0%
6.4%kr125.00kr110.00n/a2
Feb ’25kr102.10
kr117.50
+15.1%
6.4%kr125.00kr110.00n/a2
Jan ’25kr116.00
kr115.00
-0.9%
8.7%kr125.00kr105.00n/a2
Dec ’24kr116.10
kr119.67
+3.1%
8.8%kr129.00kr105.00n/a3
Nov ’24kr108.30
kr119.67
+10.5%
8.8%kr129.00kr105.00n/a3
Oct ’24kr103.00
kr115.33
+12.0%
7.1%kr125.00kr105.00n/a3
Sep ’24kr104.50
kr115.33
+10.4%
7.1%kr125.00kr105.00n/a3
Aug ’24kr105.10
kr115.33
+9.7%
7.1%kr125.00kr105.00n/a3
Jul ’24kr102.90
kr112.00
+8.8%
11.2%kr125.00kr95.00n/a3
Jun ’24kr97.00
kr112.00
+15.5%
11.2%kr125.00kr95.00n/a3
May ’24kr101.80
kr108.00
+6.1%
9.8%kr116.00kr93.00kr130.903
Apr ’24kr98.75
kr104.33
+5.7%
8.6%kr115.00kr93.00kr115.803
Mar ’24kr90.00
kr96.00
+6.7%
6.8%kr105.00kr90.00kr103.103
Feb ’24kr89.25
kr101.00
+13.2%
5.6%kr105.00kr93.00kr102.103
Jan ’24kr85.30
kr86.67
+1.6%
7.2%kr95.00kr80.00kr116.003
Dec ’23kr85.30
kr86.67
+1.6%
7.2%kr95.00kr80.00kr116.103
Nov ’23kr76.20
kr86.67
+13.7%
7.2%kr95.00kr80.00kr108.303
Oct ’23kr71.70
kr102.67
+43.2%
3.7%kr108.00kr100.00kr103.003
Sep ’23kr79.80
kr102.67
+28.7%
3.7%kr108.00kr100.00kr104.503
Aug ’23kr92.80
kr102.67
+10.6%
3.7%kr108.00kr100.00kr105.103
Jul ’23kr75.55
kr101.67
+34.6%
10.1%kr115.00kr90.00kr102.903
Jun ’23kr90.35
kr111.00
+22.9%
14.2%kr128.00kr90.00kr97.003
May ’23kr81.25
kr111.00
+36.6%
14.2%kr128.00kr90.00kr101.803

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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