Stock Analysis

Is Ferronordic (STO:FNM) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

OM:FNM
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Ferronordic AB (publ) (STO:FNM) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Ferronordic

How Much Debt Does Ferronordic Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, Ferronordic had kr1.81b of debt, up from kr507.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had kr208.0m in cash, and so its net debt is kr1.60b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
OM:FNM Debt to Equity History November 15th 2024

A Look At Ferronordic's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Ferronordic had liabilities of kr2.28b falling due within a year, and liabilities of kr976.0m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had kr208.0m in cash and kr653.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total kr2.39b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the kr909.7m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Ferronordic would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Ferronordic's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

In the last year Ferronordic wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 58%, to kr3.8b. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

Caveat Emptor

While we can certainly appreciate Ferronordic's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. Indeed, it lost kr75m at the EBIT level. Combining this information with the significant liabilities we already touched on makes us very hesitant about this stock, to say the least. That said, it is possible that the company will turn its fortunes around. But we think that is unlikely, given it is low on liquid assets, and burned through kr25m in the last year. So we consider this a high risk stock and we wouldn't be at all surprised if the company asks shareholders for money before long. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Ferronordic that you should be aware of before investing here.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.