Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Beijer Ref AB (publ) (STO:BEIJ B) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
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What Is Beijer Ref's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Beijer Ref had debt of kr8.58b, up from kr6.66b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of kr1.95b, its net debt is less, at about kr6.63b.
A Look At Beijer Ref's Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Beijer Ref had liabilities of kr8.29b due within 12 months and liabilities of kr11.1b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had kr1.95b in cash and kr5.93b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by kr11.5b.
Given Beijer Ref has a market capitalization of kr62.5b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
With a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.0, Beijer Ref uses debt artfully but responsibly. And the alluring interest cover (EBIT of 8.0 times interest expense) certainly does not do anything to dispel this impression. It is well worth noting that Beijer Ref's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 67% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Beijer Ref's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Beijer Ref basically broke even on a free cash flow basis. Some might say that's a concern, when it comes considering how easily it would be for it to down debt.
Our View
When it comes to the balance sheet, the standout positive for Beijer Ref was the fact that it seems able to grow its EBIT confidently. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. In particular, conversion of EBIT to free cash flow gives us cold feet. Considering this range of data points, we think Beijer Ref is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Beijer Ref .
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OM:BEIJ B
Beijer Ref
Provides refrigeration, air conditioning, and heating solutions worldwide.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.