Stock Analysis

Miraculum (WSE:MIR) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

WSE:MIR
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Miraculum S.A. (WSE:MIR) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Miraculum

What Is Miraculum's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Miraculum had debt of zł17.1m at the end of March 2023, a reduction from zł20.5m over a year. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

debt-equity-history-analysis
WSE:MIR Debt to Equity History August 4th 2023

A Look At Miraculum's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Miraculum had liabilities of zł13.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of zł20.3m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had zł128.0k in cash and zł5.47m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by zł28.4m.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Miraculum has a market capitalization of zł63.9m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Weak interest cover of 2.2 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 11.0 hit our confidence in Miraculum like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. One redeeming factor for Miraculum is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of zł510k, over the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Miraculum's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. In the last year, Miraculum's free cash flow amounted to 49% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

Miraculum's net debt to EBITDA was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered cast it in a significantly better light. But on the bright side, its ability to to convert EBIT to free cash flow isn't too shabby at all. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Miraculum's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Miraculum .

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.