Stock Analysis

Budimex SA (WSE:BDX) Just Reported Third-Quarter Earnings: Have Analysts Changed Their Mind On The Stock?

WSE:BDX
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It's been a sad week for Budimex SA (WSE:BDX), who've watched their investment drop 11% to zł501 in the week since the company reported its third-quarter result. Results were roughly in line with estimates, with revenues of zł2.5b and statutory earnings per share of zł28.91. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Budimex after the latest results.

View our latest analysis for Budimex

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WSE:BDX Earnings and Revenue Growth November 2nd 2024

After the latest results, the five analysts covering Budimex are now predicting revenues of zł11.3b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a major 21% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to grow 14% to zł32.82. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of zł11.3b and earnings per share (EPS) of zł33.39 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at zł611. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. The most optimistic Budimex analyst has a price target of zł730 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at zł452. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Budimex shareholders.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's clear from the latest estimates that Budimex's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 17% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 5.8% p.a. over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 11% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Budimex to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at zł611, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have forecasts for Budimex going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Plus, you should also learn about the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Budimex .

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.