Budimex Valuation
Is BDX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
0/6Valuation Score 0/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of BDX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: BDX (PLN488.2) is trading above our estimate of fair value (PLN481.48)
Significantly Below Fair Value: BDX is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BDX?
Key metric: As BDX is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is BDX's PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 17x |
| Earnings | zł734.85m |
| Market Cap | zł12.50b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1.1x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 12.7x |
| PEG Ratio | 1.9x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does BDX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 9.4x | ||
MRB Mirbud | 7.9x | n/a | zł1.3b |
TOR Torpol | 8x | -15.6% | zł725.9m |
TRK Trakcja | 9.3x | n/a | zł582.1m |
PBX Pekabex | 12.6x | n/a | zł466.7m |
BDX Budimex | 17x | 8.8% | zł12.5b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BDX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the peer average (9.4x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does BDX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the PL Construction Industry?
| 0 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|
| 0 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BDX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the Polish Construction industry average (9.1x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is BDX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 17x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 14.8x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BDX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.8x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | zł488.20 | zł611.41 +25.2% | 15.3% | zł730.00 | zł452.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Nov ’25 | zł501.00 | zł611.41 +22.0% | 15.3% | zł730.00 | zł452.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Oct ’25 | zł594.00 | zł607.81 +2.3% | 16.4% | zł730.00 | zł434.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Sep ’25 | zł602.00 | zł590.61 -1.9% | 17.6% | zł730.00 | zł434.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Aug ’25 | zł622.50 | zł590.61 -5.1% | 17.6% | zł730.00 | zł434.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Jul ’25 | zł699.50 | zł590.62 -15.6% | 17.6% | zł730.00 | zł434.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Jun ’25 | zł747.50 | zł590.62 -21.0% | 17.6% | zł730.00 | zł434.00 | n/a | 5 |
| May ’25 | zł687.50 | zł514.15 -25.2% | 22.1% | zł730.00 | zł424.75 | n/a | 5 |
| Apr ’25 | zł700.00 | zł459.15 -34.4% | 7.6% | zł524.00 | zł424.75 | n/a | 5 |
| Mar ’25 | zł738.00 | zł459.15 -37.8% | 7.6% | zł524.00 | zł424.75 | n/a | 5 |
| Feb ’25 | zł688.00 | zł440.75 -35.9% | 13.6% | zł524.00 | zł340.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Jan ’25 | zł626.00 | zł440.75 -29.6% | 13.6% | zł524.00 | zł340.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Dec ’24 | zł557.00 | zł427.95 -23.2% | 10.7% | zł460.00 | zł340.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Nov ’24 | zł470.00 | zł422.95 -10.0% | 10.3% | zł460.00 | zł340.00 | zł501.00 | 5 |
| Oct ’24 | zł434.50 | zł420.96 -3.1% | 9.9% | zł455.00 | zł340.00 | zł594.00 | 5 |
| Sep ’24 | zł446.00 | zł420.00 -5.8% | 11.1% | zł455.00 | zł340.00 | zł602.00 | 4 |
| Aug ’24 | zł419.50 | zł382.75 -8.8% | 11.4% | zł455.00 | zł340.00 | zł622.50 | 4 |
| Jul ’24 | zł359.00 | zł336.00 -6.4% | 13.6% | zł376.00 | zł272.00 | zł699.50 | 3 |
| Jun ’24 | zł345.00 | zł336.00 -2.6% | 13.6% | zł376.00 | zł272.00 | zł747.50 | 3 |
| May ’24 | zł366.00 | zł332.67 -9.1% | 13.3% | zł376.00 | zł272.00 | zł687.50 | 3 |
| Apr ’24 | zł315.50 | zł303.33 -3.9% | 11.1% | zł350.00 | zł272.00 | zł700.00 | 3 |
| Mar ’24 | zł291.00 | zł285.00 -2.1% | 3.4% | zł295.00 | zł272.00 | zł738.00 | 3 |
| Feb ’24 | zł284.00 | zł282.67 -0.5% | 4.5% | zł295.00 | zł265.00 | zł688.00 | 3 |
| Jan ’24 | zł284.00 | zł282.67 -0.5% | 4.5% | zł295.00 | zł265.00 | zł626.00 | 3 |
| Dec ’23 | zł271.50 | zł279.67 +3.0% | 3.7% | zł288.00 | zł265.00 | zł557.00 | 3 |
| Nov ’23 | zł240.00 | zł273.33 +13.9% | 3.8% | zł288.00 | zł265.00 | zł470.00 | 3 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.
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