Budimex Valuation
Is BDX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of BDX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: BDX (PLN530.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (PLN1284.48)
Significantly Below Fair Value: BDX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BDX?
Key metric: As BDX is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is BDX's PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 18.4x |
| Earnings | zł734.85m |
| Market Cap | zł13.53b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1.2x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 13.9x |
| PEG Ratio | 2.1x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does BDX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 15.3x | ||
MRB Mirbud | 10.5x | n/a | zł1.5b |
TRK Trakcja | 19.8x | n/a | zł1.1b |
TOR Torpol | 11.2x | -6.2% | zł905.0m |
OND Onde | 19.7x | n/a | zł619.3m |
BDX Budimex | 18.4x | 8.6% | zł13.5b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BDX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.4x) compared to the peer average (15.3x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does BDX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the PL Construction Industry?
| 0 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|
| 0 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BDX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.4x) compared to the Polish Construction industry average (14.1x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is BDX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 18.4x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 15.5x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BDX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.5x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | zł530.50 | zł573.23 +8.1% | 15.9% | zł730.00 | zł452.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Feb ’26 | zł477.80 | zł573.23 +20.0% | 15.9% | zł730.00 | zł452.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Jan ’26 | zł466.60 | zł573.22 +22.9% | 15.9% | zł730.00 | zł452.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Dec ’25 | zł471.40 | zł577.22 +22.4% | 15.8% | zł730.00 | zł452.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Nov ’25 | zł501.00 | zł611.41 +22.0% | 15.3% | zł730.00 | zł452.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Oct ’25 | zł594.00 | zł607.81 +2.3% | 16.4% | zł730.00 | zł434.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Sep ’25 | zł602.00 | zł590.61 -1.9% | 17.6% | zł730.00 | zł434.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Aug ’25 | zł622.50 | zł590.61 -5.1% | 17.6% | zł730.00 | zł434.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Jul ’25 | zł699.50 | zł590.62 -15.6% | 17.6% | zł730.00 | zł434.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Jun ’25 | zł747.50 | zł590.62 -21.0% | 17.6% | zł730.00 | zł434.00 | n/a | 5 |
| May ’25 | zł687.50 | zł514.15 -25.2% | 22.1% | zł730.00 | zł424.75 | n/a | 5 |
| Apr ’25 | zł700.00 | zł459.15 -34.4% | 7.6% | zł524.00 | zł424.75 | n/a | 5 |
| Mar ’25 | zł738.00 | zł459.15 -37.8% | 7.6% | zł524.00 | zł424.75 | n/a | 5 |
| Feb ’25 | zł688.00 | zł440.75 -35.9% | 13.6% | zł524.00 | zł340.00 | zł477.80 | 5 |
| Jan ’25 | zł626.00 | zł440.75 -29.6% | 13.6% | zł524.00 | zł340.00 | zł466.60 | 5 |
| Dec ’24 | zł557.00 | zł427.95 -23.2% | 10.7% | zł460.00 | zł340.00 | zł471.40 | 5 |
| Nov ’24 | zł470.00 | zł422.95 -10.0% | 10.3% | zł460.00 | zł340.00 | zł501.00 | 5 |
| Oct ’24 | zł434.50 | zł420.96 -3.1% | 9.9% | zł455.00 | zł340.00 | zł594.00 | 5 |
| Sep ’24 | zł446.00 | zł420.00 -5.8% | 11.1% | zł455.00 | zł340.00 | zł602.00 | 4 |
| Aug ’24 | zł419.50 | zł382.75 -8.8% | 11.4% | zł455.00 | zł340.00 | zł622.50 | 4 |
| Jul ’24 | zł359.00 | zł336.00 -6.4% | 13.6% | zł376.00 | zł272.00 | zł699.50 | 3 |
| Jun ’24 | zł345.00 | zł336.00 -2.6% | 13.6% | zł376.00 | zł272.00 | zł747.50 | 3 |
| May ’24 | zł366.00 | zł332.67 -9.1% | 13.3% | zł376.00 | zł272.00 | zł687.50 | 3 |
| Apr ’24 | zł315.50 | zł303.33 -3.9% | 11.1% | zł350.00 | zł272.00 | zł700.00 | 3 |
| Mar ’24 | zł291.00 | zł285.00 -2.1% | 3.4% | zł295.00 | zł272.00 | zł738.00 | 3 |
| Feb ’24 | zł284.00 | zł282.67 -0.5% | 4.5% | zł295.00 | zł265.00 | zł688.00 | 3 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2025/02/11 19:23 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2025/02/11 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2024/09/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2023/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Budimex SA is covered by 18 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Rafal Wiatr | Citigroup Inc |
| Tomasz Krukowski | Deutsche Bank |
| Marek Straszak | Dom Maklerski Banku BPS S.A. |