There wouldn't be many who think Fletcher Building Limited's (NZSE:FBU) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15.8x is worth a mention when the median P/E in New Zealand is similar at about 16x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
Fletcher Building has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company's earnings trend will eventually fall in line with most others in the market. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Fletcher Building
Keen to find out how analysts think Fletcher Building's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Some Growth For Fletcher Building?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Fletcher Building would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 44%. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with EPS growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 20% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be similar to the 21% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that Fletcher Building's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders are comfortable to simply hold on while the company is keeping a low profile.
The Key Takeaway
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Fletcher Building's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook is contributing to its current P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement or deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a high or low P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Fletcher Building (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that we have uncovered.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Fletcher Building, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NZSE:FBU
Fletcher Building
Engages in the manufacture and distribution of building products in New Zealand, Australia, and internationally.
Undervalued with moderate growth potential.