Stock Analysis

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Avance Gas Holding Ltd's (OB:AGAS) Earnings Yet

Published
OB:AGAS

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 4.2x Avance Gas Holding Ltd (OB:AGAS) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Norway have P/E ratios greater than 12x and even P/E's higher than 21x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

Recent times have been advantageous for Avance Gas Holding as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Avance Gas Holding

OB:AGAS Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 2nd 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Avance Gas Holding's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

Avance Gas Holding's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 173%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 205% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 24% per annum during the coming three years according to the four analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 22% each year, which paints a poor picture.

In light of this, it's understandable that Avance Gas Holding's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

The Bottom Line On Avance Gas Holding's P/E

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Avance Gas Holding maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Avance Gas Holding has 4 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.