Avance Gas Holding Valuation
Is AGAS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of AGAS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: AGAS (NOK72.4) is trading above our estimate of fair value (NOK12.41)
Significantly Below Fair Value: AGAS is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AGAS?
Key metric: As AGAS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is AGAS's PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 1.6x |
| Earnings | US$294.41m |
| Market Cap | US$483.96m |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 2.1x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 3.4x |
| PEG Ratio | -0.02x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does AGAS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 5.9x | ||
OET Okeanis Eco Tankers | 5.3x | 10.3% | NOK 7.2b |
BWEK BW Epic Kosan | 11.1x | 1.3% | NOK 3.9b |
CLCO Cool | 4.2x | -20.5% | NOK 4.5b |
BWLPG BWG | 3x | -23.3% | NOK 16.6b |
AGAS Avance Gas Holding | 1.6x | -95.7% | NOK 5.5b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AGAS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.6x) compared to the peer average (5.9x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does AGAS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?
| 6 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AGAS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.6x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (8.3x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is AGAS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 1.6x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 1.7x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AGAS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.7x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | NOK 72.40 | NOK 108.25 +49.5% | 20.9% | NOK 131.00 | NOK 71.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Dec ’25 | NOK 113.40 | NOK 130.67 +15.2% | 12.2% | NOK 150.00 | NOK 111.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Nov ’25 | NOK 101.20 | NOK 130.00 +28.5% | 12.9% | NOK 150.00 | NOK 109.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Oct ’25 | NOK 106.20 | NOK 130.00 +22.4% | 12.9% | NOK 150.00 | NOK 109.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Sep ’25 | NOK 125.80 | NOK 139.33 +10.8% | 5.7% | NOK 150.00 | NOK 131.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Aug ’25 | NOK 164.80 | NOK 190.00 +15.3% | 2.1% | NOK 195.00 | NOK 185.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Jul ’25 | NOK 166.20 | NOK 193.00 +16.1% | 1.1% | NOK 195.00 | NOK 190.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Jun ’25 | NOK 184.80 | NOK 193.00 +4.4% | 1.1% | NOK 195.00 | NOK 190.00 | n/a | 3 |
| May ’25 | NOK 161.60 | NOK 156.00 -3.5% | 7.5% | NOK 168.00 | NOK 140.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Apr ’25 | NOK 123.80 | NOK 156.00 +26.0% | 7.5% | NOK 168.00 | NOK 140.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Mar ’25 | NOK 111.00 | NOK 156.00 +40.5% | 7.5% | NOK 168.00 | NOK 140.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Feb ’25 | NOK 123.80 | NOK 155.00 +25.2% | 19.3% | NOK 178.00 | NOK 104.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Jan ’25 | NOK 149.60 | NOK 158.50 +5.9% | 19.9% | NOK 178.00 | NOK 104.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Dec ’24 | NOK 158.80 | NOK 158.50 -0.2% | 19.9% | NOK 178.00 | NOK 104.00 | NOK 113.40 | 4 |
| Nov ’24 | NOK 162.20 | NOK 153.33 -5.5% | 10.1% | NOK 175.00 | NOK 140.00 | NOK 101.20 | 3 |
| Oct ’24 | NOK 115.00 | NOK 114.33 -0.6% | 4.3% | NOK 120.00 | NOK 108.00 | NOK 106.20 | 3 |
| Sep ’24 | NOK 107.00 | NOK 114.33 +6.9% | 4.3% | NOK 120.00 | NOK 108.00 | NOK 125.80 | 3 |
| Aug ’24 | NOK 86.00 | NOK 104.00 +20.9% | 7.7% | NOK 115.00 | NOK 96.00 | NOK 164.80 | 3 |
| Jul ’24 | NOK 90.60 | NOK 106.33 +17.4% | 5.8% | NOK 115.00 | NOK 101.00 | NOK 166.20 | 3 |
| Jun ’24 | NOK 94.20 | NOK 106.33 +12.9% | 5.8% | NOK 115.00 | NOK 101.00 | NOK 184.80 | 3 |
| May ’24 | NOK 72.00 | NOK 82.00 +13.9% | 14.7% | NOK 91.00 | NOK 65.00 | NOK 161.60 | 3 |
| Apr ’24 | NOK 68.35 | NOK 83.33 +21.9% | 15.7% | NOK 95.00 | NOK 65.00 | NOK 123.80 | 3 |
| Mar ’24 | NOK 81.15 | NOK 77.67 -4.3% | 15.8% | NOK 95.00 | NOK 68.00 | NOK 111.00 | 3 |
| Feb ’24 | NOK 62.10 | NOK 70.00 +12.7% | 5.8% | NOK 75.00 | NOK 65.00 | NOK 123.80 | 3 |
| Jan ’24 | NOK 59.55 | NOK 69.67 +17.0% | 5.3% | NOK 74.00 | NOK 65.00 | NOK 149.60 | 3 |
| Dec ’23 | NOK 67.55 | NOK 69.67 +3.1% | 5.3% | NOK 74.00 | NOK 65.00 | NOK 158.80 | 3 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2024/12/19 03:41 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2024/12/19 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2024/09/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2023/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .
Analyst Sources
Avance Gas Holding Ltd is covered by 15 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| null null | ABG Sundal Collier |
| Erik Stavseth | Arctic Securities ASA |
| Gregory Lewis | BTIG |