Stock Analysis

Is ASML Holding (AMS:ASML) Using Too Much Debt?

Published
ENXTAM:ASML

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, ASML Holding N.V. (AMS:ASML) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for ASML Holding

What Is ASML Holding's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 ASML Holding had €4.61b of debt, an increase on €3.97b, over one year. However, it does have €5.41b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of €794.1m.

ENXTAM:ASML Debt to Equity History July 15th 2024

A Look At ASML Holding's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, ASML Holding had liabilities of €15.0b due within 12 months, and liabilities of €10.2b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had €5.41b in cash and €5.98b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €13.9b.

Since publicly traded ASML Holding shares are worth a very impressive total of €393.9b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, ASML Holding also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

Fortunately, ASML Holding grew its EBIT by 4.3% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if ASML Holding can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While ASML Holding has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, ASML Holding recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 95% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Summing Up

We could understand if investors are concerned about ASML Holding's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of €794.1m. The cherry on top was that in converted 95% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in €2.4b. So we don't think ASML Holding's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for ASML Holding you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.