Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Perak Transit Berhad (KLSE:PTRANS) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Our analysis indicates that PTRANS is potentially undervalued!
What Is Perak Transit Berhad's Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2022, Perak Transit Berhad had RM320.1m of debt, up from RM207.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had RM30.9m in cash, and so its net debt is RM289.1m.
How Healthy Is Perak Transit Berhad's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Perak Transit Berhad had liabilities of RM73.8m due within 12 months, and liabilities of RM312.6m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of RM30.9m and RM33.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by RM321.9m.
Perak Transit Berhad has a market capitalization of RM748.0m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
With net debt to EBITDA of 2.9 Perak Transit Berhad has a fairly noticeable amount of debt. On the plus side, its EBIT was 9.8 times its interest expense, and its net debt to EBITDA, was quite high, at 2.9. Notably Perak Transit Berhad's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year. Ideally it can diminish its debt load by kick-starting earnings growth. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Perak Transit Berhad's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Perak Transit Berhad burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
Perak Transit Berhad's struggle to convert EBIT to free cash flow had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. For example its interest cover was refreshing. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Perak Transit Berhad's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Perak Transit Berhad (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KLSE:PTRANS
Perak Transit Berhad
An investment holding company, develops, owns, and operates an integrated public transportation terminal (IPTT) in Malaysia.
Fair value with acceptable track record.