Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Ibraco Berhad (KLSE:IBRACO) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Ibraco Berhad
How Much Debt Does Ibraco Berhad Carry?
As you can see below, Ibraco Berhad had RM239.3m of debt at September 2020, down from RM256.3m a year prior. On the flip side, it has RM46.3m in cash leading to net debt of about RM193.0m.
A Look At Ibraco Berhad's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Ibraco Berhad had liabilities of RM231.3m due within a year, and liabilities of RM132.7m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had RM46.3m in cash and RM55.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total RM262.3m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of RM287.9m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Ibraco Berhad's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Ibraco Berhad's debt is 2.7 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 4.8 times over. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. Importantly, Ibraco Berhad grew its EBIT by 32% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Ibraco Berhad can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last three years, Ibraco Berhad's free cash flow amounted to 24% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Our View
Ibraco Berhad's level of total liabilities and conversion of EBIT to free cash flow definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to grow its EBIT with ease. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Ibraco Berhad is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Ibraco Berhad that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About KLSE:IBRACO
Ibraco Berhad
Engages in the construction and development of properties primarily in Malaysia.
High growth potential with adequate balance sheet.