Stock Analysis

Time To Worry? Analysts Are Downgrading Their Glomac Berhad (KLSE:GLOMAC) Outlook

KLSE:GLOMAC
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The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for Glomac Berhad (KLSE:GLOMAC), with the analysts making across-the-board cuts to their statutory estimates that might leave shareholders a little shell-shocked. Revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts were both revised downwards, with the analysts seeing grey clouds on the horizon.

Following the latest downgrade, the three analysts covering Glomac Berhad provided consensus estimates of RM297m revenue in 2024, which would reflect a perceptible 5.2% decline on its sales over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are anticipated to decline 13% to RM0.021 in the same period. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of RM354m and earnings per share (EPS) of RM0.045 in 2024. It looks like analyst sentiment has declined substantially, with a substantial drop in revenue estimates and a pretty serious decline to earnings per share numbers as well.

Check out our latest analysis for Glomac Berhad

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KLSE:GLOMAC Earnings and Revenue Growth December 3rd 2023

The consensus price target fell 5.8% to RM0.44, with the weaker earnings outlook clearly leading analyst valuation estimates.

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Glomac Berhad's past performance and to peers in the same industry. These estimates imply that sales are expected to slow, with a forecast annualised revenue decline of 5.2% by the end of 2024. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 3.1% over the last five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 9.0% annually for the foreseeable future. It's pretty clear that Glomac Berhad's revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest issue in the new estimates is that analysts have reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds lay ahead for Glomac Berhad. Regrettably, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and the latest forecasts imply the business will grow sales slower than the wider market. Given the scope of the downgrades, it would not be a surprise to see the market become more wary of the business.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Glomac Berhad going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Glomac Berhad is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.