Stock Analysis

Is QL Resources Berhad (KLSE:QL) A Risky Investment?

KLSE:QL
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, QL Resources Berhad (KLSE:QL) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for QL Resources Berhad

What Is QL Resources Berhad's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that QL Resources Berhad had debt of RM996.1m at the end of June 2024, a reduction from RM1.29b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of RM465.7m, its net debt is less, at about RM530.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KLSE:QL Debt to Equity History November 3rd 2024

A Look At QL Resources Berhad's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that QL Resources Berhad had liabilities of RM1.89b due within a year, and liabilities of RM458.6m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of RM465.7m and RM800.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling RM1.08b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given QL Resources Berhad has a market capitalization of RM17.5b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

QL Resources Berhad's net debt is only 0.58 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 11.9 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Also positive, QL Resources Berhad grew its EBIT by 21% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine QL Resources Berhad's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, QL Resources Berhad produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 74% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Happily, QL Resources Berhad's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is also very heartening. Overall, we don't think QL Resources Berhad is taking any bad risks, as its debt load seems modest. So the balance sheet looks pretty healthy, to us. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of QL Resources Berhad's earnings per share history for free.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if QL Resources Berhad might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.