ALPEK. de Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

ALPEK. de is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 102.2% and 2.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 101.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10.2% in 3 years.

Key information

102.2%

Earnings growth rate

101.1%

EPS growth rate

Chemicals earnings growth	68.7%
Revenue growth rate	2.2%
Future return on equity	10.2%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	25 Apr 2024

Recent future growth updates

Earnings Miss: ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. Missed EPS By 51% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Apr 25

Recent updates

Earnings Miss: ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. Missed EPS By 51% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Apr 25

Investor Optimism Abounds ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALPEKA) But Growth Is Lacking

Jan 04

Is There Now An Opportunity In ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALPEKA)?

Dec 14

ALPEK. de (BMV:ALPEKA) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

Nov 24

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALPEKA)?

Sep 02

ALPEK. de (BMV:ALPEKA) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Jul 16

ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V.'s (BMV:ALPEKA) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 91% Above Its Share Price

Jun 27

The ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALPEKA) Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Sales Forecasts

Apr 30

When Should You Buy ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALPEKA)?

Apr 20

An Intrinsic Calculation For ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALPEKA) Suggests It's 34% Undervalued

Mar 28

These Analysts Think ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V.'s (BMV:ALPEKA) Sales Are Under Threat

Feb 25

Is ALPEK. de (BMV:ALPEKA) A Risky Investment?

Feb 23

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALPEKA)?

Jan 07

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALPEKA)

Dec 22

At Mex$26.92, Is ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALPEKA) Worth Looking At Closely?

Sep 24

We Think ALPEK. de (BMV:ALPEKA) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Aug 30

Should You Think About Buying ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALPEKA) Now?

Jun 18

Analysts Just Made A Neat Upgrade To Their ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALPEKA) Forecasts

May 28

These 4 Measures Indicate That ALPEK. de (BMV:ALPEKA) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

May 05

Growth Investors: Industry Analysts Just Upgraded Their ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALPEKA) Revenue Forecasts By 11%

Feb 21

Is ALPEK. de (BMV:ALPEKA) A Risky Investment?

Feb 01

An Intrinsic Calculation For ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALPEKA) Suggests It's 23% Undervalued

Jan 10

Is ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALPEKA) Potentially Undervalued?

Dec 24

ALPEK. de (BMV:ALPEKA) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Oct 26

Are Investors Undervaluing ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALPEKA) By 22%?

Oct 08

What Does ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V.'s (BMV:ALPEKA) Share Price Indicate?

Sep 22

ALPEK. de (BMV:ALPEKA) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger

Jul 15

ALPEK. de (BMV:ALPEKA) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Jun 23

Should You Investigate ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALPEKA) At Mex$22.52?

May 31

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

BMV:ALPEK A - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (MXN Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	143,862	4,599	6,319	N/A	6
12/31/2025	128,319	3,018	4,983	N/A	10
12/31/2024	130,682	1,885	2,637	N/A	9
3/31/2024	131,934	-10,686	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2023	138,159	-10,914	12,483	15,024	N/A
9/30/2023	156,683	767	15,202	17,496	N/A
6/30/2023	183,065	3,453	11,982	14,816	N/A
3/31/2023	203,133	8,955	9,704	12,462	N/A
12/31/2022	212,435	13,744	12,131	15,210	N/A
9/30/2022	208,689	13,602	12,683	15,800	N/A
6/30/2022	190,591	13,576	11,295	13,880	N/A
3/31/2022	171,271	10,001	10,672	15,314	N/A
12/31/2021	156,224	7,756	8,794	13,230	N/A
9/30/2021	140,268	9,175	5,278	9,901	N/A
6/30/2021	127,927	8,392	9,874	14,529	N/A
3/31/2021	118,297	6,028	8,280	10,941	N/A
12/31/2020	113,989	3,123	9,346	11,934	N/A
9/30/2020	112,413	5,151	8,180	10,785	N/A
6/30/2020	112,662	4,691	6,026	8,838	N/A
3/31/2020	116,640	5,635	8,295	11,168	N/A
12/31/2019	119,685	6,605	6,843	10,001	N/A
9/30/2019	127,354	10,373	7,623	10,296	N/A
6/30/2019	134,627	10,913	6,682	9,149	N/A
3/31/2019	137,345	12,601	5,915	8,231	N/A
12/31/2018	134,523	13,633	6,256	8,261	N/A
9/30/2018	124,731	5,240	6,239	8,372	N/A
6/30/2018	111,272	-3,406	3,799	6,457	N/A
3/31/2018	101,404	-5,707	4,186	7,484	N/A
12/31/2017	98,998	-5,487	N/A	7,225	N/A
9/30/2017	97,416	-4,366	N/A	6,004	N/A
6/30/2017	97,173	3,697	N/A	8,961	N/A
3/31/2017	95,240	4,112	N/A	7,739	N/A
12/31/2016	90,192	3,625	N/A	6,019	N/A
9/30/2016	87,174	3,558	N/A	6,724	N/A
6/30/2016	86,103	3,248	N/A	6,949	N/A
3/31/2016	85,161	3,654	N/A	6,940	N/A
12/31/2015	83,590	2,748	N/A	8,178	N/A
9/30/2015	85,981	1,844	N/A	9,631	N/A
6/30/2015	85,331	1,615	N/A	7,471	N/A
3/31/2015	84,935	860	N/A	5,379	N/A
12/31/2014	86,072	801	N/A	6,593	N/A
9/30/2014	84,225	1,105	N/A	4,950	N/A
6/30/2014	86,022	1,248	N/A	5,178	N/A
3/31/2014	87,636	-198	N/A	7,051	N/A
12/31/2013	90,061	262	N/A	5,542	N/A
9/30/2013	90,896	780	N/A	5,249	N/A
6/30/2013	91,505	1,395	N/A	6,092	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ALPEK A is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (7.8%).

Earnings vs Market: ALPEK A is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: ALPEK A is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: ALPEK A's revenue (2.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the MX market (7.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ALPEK A's revenue (2.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: ALPEK A's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10.2%).

ALPEK. de Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Earnings Miss: ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. Missed EPS By 51% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 20%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 50%

Price target decreased by 7.6% to Mex$23.53

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%

Recent updates

Earnings Miss: ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. Missed EPS By 51% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: Mex$0.065 (vs Mex$0.043 loss in 1Q 2023)

What ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V.'s (BMV:ALPEKA) P/S Is Not Telling You

ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Apr 23, 2024

Now 20% overvalued after recent price rise

At Mex$12.61, Is ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALPEKA) Worth Looking At Closely?

ALPEK. de (BMV:ALPEKA) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

New major risk - Financial position

ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V., Annual General Meeting, Mar 06, 2024

ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 20, 2024

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALPEKA)

Investor Optimism Abounds ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALPEKA) But Growth Is Lacking

Is There Now An Opportunity In ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALPEKA)?

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%

ALPEK. de (BMV:ALPEKA) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 20%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 50%

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 27%

New minor risk - Share price stability

Price target decreased by 7.6% to Mex$23.53

Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Oct 23, 2023

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALPEKA)?

New minor risk - Profit margin trend

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 10%

Price target decreased by 8.0% to Mex$26.44

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 13%, revenue downgraded

Second quarter 2023 earnings released

ALPEK. de (BMV:ALPEKA) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Jul 26, 2023

ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V.'s (BMV:ALPEKA) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 91% Above Its Share Price

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%

The ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALPEKA) Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Sales Forecasts

First quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

When Should You Buy ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALPEKA)?

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%

An Intrinsic Calculation For ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALPEKA) Suggests It's 34% Undervalued

These Analysts Think ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V.'s (BMV:ALPEKA) Sales Are Under Threat

Consensus revenue estimates fall by 10%

Is ALPEK. de (BMV:ALPEKA) A Risky Investment?

Now 23% undervalued after recent price drop

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 15%

ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. to Report Q4, 2022 Results on Feb 15, 2023

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALPEKA)?

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALPEKA)

Insufficient new directors

Third quarter 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. to Report Q3, 2022 Results on Oct 20, 2022

At Mex$26.92, Is ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALPEKA) Worth Looking At Closely?

We Think ALPEK. de (BMV:ALPEKA) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Consensus forecasts updated

Second quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 12%

ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. to Report Q2, 2022 Results on Jul 20, 2022

Should You Think About Buying ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALPEKA) Now?

ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALPEK A) completed the acquisition of OCTAL Holding SAOC from bank muscat SAOG (MSM:BKMB) and others.

Analysts Just Made A Neat Upgrade To Their ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALPEKA) Forecasts

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 25%

Consensus forecasts updated

These 4 Measures Indicate That ALPEK. de (BMV:ALPEKA) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 28%

First quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Insufficient new directors

ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. to Report Q1, 2022 Results on Apr 25, 2022

Insufficient new directors

Insufficient new directors

Consensus forecasts updated