Stock Analysis

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALPEKA)?

BMV:ALPEK A
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While ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALPEKA) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the BMV over the last few months, increasing to Mex$18.87 at one point, and dropping to the lows of Mex$16.24. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether ALPEK. de's current trading price of Mex$16.53 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at ALPEK. de’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for ALPEK. de

Is ALPEK. de Still Cheap?

According to my price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average, the stock price seems to be justfied. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that ALPEK. de’s ratio of 10.09x is trading slightly above its industry peers’ ratio of 9.97x, which means if you buy ALPEK. de today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe ALPEK. de should be trading in this range, then there isn’t really any room for the share price grow beyond the levels of other industry peers over the long-term. In addition to this, it seems like ALPEK. de’s share price is quite stable, which could mean there may be less chances to buy low in the future now that it’s trading around the price multiples of other industry peers. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.

What does the future of ALPEK. de look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
BMV:ALPEK A Earnings and Revenue Growth September 2nd 2023

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. ALPEK. de's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 43%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in ALPEK A’s positive outlook, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at ALPEK A? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on ALPEK A, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for ALPEK A, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you'd like to know more about ALPEK. de as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. While conducting our analysis, we found that ALPEK. de has 3 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore them.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.