Should You Investigate ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALPEKA) At Mex$11.86?
While ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:ALPEKA) might not have the largest market cap around , it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the BMV over the last few months, increasing to Mex$15.42 at one point, and dropping to the lows of Mex$11.20. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether ALPEK. de's current trading price of Mex$11.86 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at ALPEK. de’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
See our latest analysis for ALPEK. de
What Is ALPEK. de Worth?
The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to our valuation model. It’s trading around 9.5% below our intrinsic value, which means if you buy ALPEK. de today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth MX$13.11, then there isn’t much room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because ALPEK. de’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.
Can we expect growth from ALPEK. de?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. With revenues expected to grow by a double-digit 13% over the next couple of years, the outlook is positive for ALPEK. de. If the level of expenses is able to be maintained, it looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in ALPEK A’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on ALPEK A, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
If you want to dive deeper into ALPEK. de, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for ALPEK. de (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be familiar with.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BMV:ALPEK A
ALPEK. de
Alpek, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a petrochemical company in Mexico and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.