Stock Analysis

KRAFTON, Inc.'s (KRX:259960) Shares May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon

KOSE:A259960
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When close to half the companies in Korea have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 11x, you may consider KRAFTON, Inc. (KRX:259960) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 17.5x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

KRAFTON certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for KRAFTON

pe-multiple-vs-industry
KOSE:A259960 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 1st 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on KRAFTON.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like KRAFTON's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 94%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 64% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 8.8% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 18% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we find it concerning that KRAFTON is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Bottom Line On KRAFTON's P/E

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that KRAFTON currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Our free balance sheet analysis for KRAFTON with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

If you're unsure about the strength of KRAFTON's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if KRAFTON might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.