There's Reason For Concern Over K.R.S. Corporation's (TSE:9369) Massive 26% Price Jump
K.R.S. Corporation (TSE:9369) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The annual gain comes to 170% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.
Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about K.R.S' P/S ratio of 0.3x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Logistics industry in Japan is also close to 0.5x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
See our latest analysis for K.R.S
What Does K.R.S' Recent Performance Look Like?
There hasn't been much to differentiate K.R.S' and the industry's revenue growth lately. It seems that many are expecting the mediocre revenue performance to persist, which has held the P/S ratio back. Those who are bullish on K.R.S will be hoping that revenue performance can pick up, so that they can pick up the stock at a slightly lower valuation.
Keen to find out how analysts think K.R.S' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
K.R.S' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 5.0%. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 10% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the dual analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 3.0% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 5.8% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
In light of this, it's curious that K.R.S' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Bottom Line On K.R.S' P/S
K.R.S appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
When you consider that K.R.S' revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for K.R.S that we have uncovered.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:9369
Mediocre balance sheet with limited growth.