Stock Analysis

Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Ltd.'s (TSE:9104) Prospects Need A Boost To Lift Shares

TSE:9104
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Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Ltd.'s (TSE:9104) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.2x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Japan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 15x and even P/E's above 23x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Mitsui O.S.K. Lines hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Mitsui O.S.K. Lines

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:9104 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 28th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Mitsui O.S.K. Lines' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

Mitsui O.S.K. Lines' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 67%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 188% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the nine analysts covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 5.3% per year over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 9.5% growth per annum, that's a disappointing outcome.

With this information, we are not surprised that Mitsui O.S.K. Lines is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

What We Can Learn From Mitsui O.S.K. Lines' P/E?

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Mitsui O.S.K. Lines maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for Mitsui O.S.K. Lines (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that we have uncovered.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.