Stock Analysis

What To Know Before Buying SE Holdings and Incubations Co., Ltd. (TYO:9478) For Its Dividend

TSE:9478
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Is SE Holdings and Incubations Co., Ltd. (TYO:9478) a good dividend stock? How can we tell? Dividend paying companies with growing earnings can be highly rewarding in the long term. If you are hoping to live on the income from dividends, it's important to be a lot more stringent with your investments than the average punter.

A 0.9% yield is nothing to get excited about, but investors probably think the long payment history suggests SE Holdings and Incubations has some staying power. The company also bought back stock during the year, equivalent to approximately 1.3% of the company's market capitalisation at the time. Some simple research can reduce the risk of buying SE Holdings and Incubations for its dividend - read on to learn more.

Click the interactive chart for our full dividend analysis

historic-dividend
JASDAQ:9478 Historic Dividend February 5th 2021

Payout ratios

Dividends are usually paid out of company earnings. If a company is paying more than it earns, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. So we need to form a view on if a company's dividend is sustainable, relative to its net profit after tax. Looking at the data, we can see that 7.7% of SE Holdings and Incubations' profits were paid out as dividends in the last 12 months. With a low payout ratio, it looks like the dividend is comprehensively covered by earnings.

In addition to comparing dividends against profits, we should inspect whether the company generated enough cash to pay its dividend. SE Holdings and Incubations paid out 10% of its free cash flow as dividends last year, which is conservative and suggests the dividend is sustainable. It's positive to see that SE Holdings and Incubations' dividend is covered by both profits and cash flow, since this is generally a sign that the dividend is sustainable, and a lower payout ratio usually suggests a greater margin of safety before the dividend gets cut.

While the above analysis focuses on dividends relative to a company's earnings, we do note SE Holdings and Incubations' strong net cash position, which will let it pay larger dividends for a time, should it choose.

Consider getting our latest analysis on SE Holdings and Incubations' financial position here.

Dividend Volatility

Before buying a stock for its income, we want to see if the dividends have been stable in the past, and if the company has a track record of maintaining its dividend. For the purpose of this article, we only scrutinise the last decade of SE Holdings and Incubations' dividend payments. This dividend has been unstable, which we define as having been cut one or more times over this time. During the past 10-year period, the first annual payment was JP¥3.0 in 2011, compared to JP¥2.0 last year. The dividend has shrunk at around 4.0% a year during that period. SE Holdings and Incubations' dividend hasn't shrunk linearly at 4.0% per annum, but the CAGR is a useful estimate of the historical rate of change.

We struggle to make a case for buying SE Holdings and Incubations for its dividend, given that payments have shrunk over the past 10 years.

Dividend Growth Potential

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Strong earnings per share (EPS) growth might encourage our interest in the company despite fluctuating dividends, which is why it's great to see SE Holdings and Incubations has grown its earnings per share at 16% per annum over the past five years. Earnings per share are growing at a solid clip, and the payout ratio is low. We think this is an ideal combination in a dividend stock.

Conclusion

Dividend investors should always want to know if a) a company's dividends are affordable, b) if there is a track record of consistent payments, and c) if the dividend is capable of growing. Firstly, we like that SE Holdings and Incubations has low and conservative payout ratios. Next, earnings growth has been good, but unfortunately the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. Overall we think SE Holdings and Incubations scores well on our analysis. It's not quite perfect, but we'd definitely be keen to take a closer look.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've identified 2 warning signs for SE Holdings and Incubations (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing.

We have also put together a list of global stocks with a market capitalisation above $1bn and yielding more 3%.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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