Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Nippon Sanso Holdings (TSE:4091) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

TSE:4091
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Nippon Sanso Holdings Corporation (TSE:4091) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Nippon Sanso Holdings

What Is Nippon Sanso Holdings's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Nippon Sanso Holdings had JP¥890.3b of debt, at March 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have JP¥153.3b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about JP¥736.9b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSE:4091 Debt to Equity History June 4th 2024

How Strong Is Nippon Sanso Holdings' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Nippon Sanso Holdings had liabilities of JP¥498.0b due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥965.0b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of JP¥153.3b and JP¥282.2b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total JP¥1.03t more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Nippon Sanso Holdings has a very large market capitalization of JP¥1.99t, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

With net debt to EBITDA of 2.6 Nippon Sanso Holdings has a fairly noticeable amount of debt. On the plus side, its EBIT was 7.9 times its interest expense, and its net debt to EBITDA, was quite high, at 2.6. Importantly, Nippon Sanso Holdings grew its EBIT by 42% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Nippon Sanso Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Nippon Sanso Holdings produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 69% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Happily, Nippon Sanso Holdings's impressive EBIT growth rate implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But truth be told we feel its level of total liabilities does undermine this impression a bit. All these things considered, it appears that Nippon Sanso Holdings can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Nippon Sanso Holdings has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nippon Sanso Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.