Nippon Sanso Holdings Corporation

TSE:4091 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥1.9t

Nippon Sanso Holdings Valuation

Is 4091 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4091 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4091 (¥4300) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥8684.48)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4091 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4091?

Key metric: As 4091 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4091. This is calculated by dividing 4091's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4091's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.5x
EarningsJP¥106.55b
Market CapJP¥1.86t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4091's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4091 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.4x
4088 Air Water
9x8.5%JP¥425.7b
4097 Koatsu Gas Kogyo
9.5xn/aJP¥44.2b
4612 Nippon Paint Holdings
18.9x8.1%JP¥2.3t
6988 Nitto Denko
12.2x2.1%JP¥1.7t
4091 Nippon Sanso Holdings
17.5x7.3%JP¥1.9t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4091 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.5x) compared to the peer average (12.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4091's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Chemicals Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
4119 Nippon Pigment Holdings
0.7xn/aUS$31.08m
No more companies available in this PE range
4091 17.5xIndustry Avg. 12.1xNo. of Companies19PE0612182430+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4091 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.5x) compared to the JP Chemicals industry average (12.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4091's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4091 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.5x
Fair PE Ratio16.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4091 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4091 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥4,300.00
JP¥5,200.00
+20.9%
7.5%JP¥5,700.00JP¥4,700.00n/a8
Nov ’25JP¥4,799.00
JP¥5,200.00
+8.4%
7.5%JP¥5,700.00JP¥4,700.00n/a8
Oct ’25JP¥5,254.00
JP¥5,126.25
-2.4%
7.4%JP¥5,700.00JP¥4,700.00n/a8
Sep ’25JP¥4,977.00
JP¥4,967.50
-0.2%
5.6%JP¥5,600.00JP¥4,700.00n/a8
Aug ’25JP¥4,712.00
JP¥5,001.25
+6.1%
5.7%JP¥5,450.00JP¥4,700.00n/a8
Jul ’25JP¥4,745.00
JP¥4,875.00
+2.7%
6.9%JP¥5,400.00JP¥4,300.00n/a8
Jun ’25JP¥4,635.00
JP¥4,406.25
-4.9%
12.6%JP¥5,200.00JP¥3,500.00n/a8
May ’25JP¥4,677.00
JP¥4,353.75
-6.9%
12.7%JP¥5,200.00JP¥3,500.00n/a8
Apr ’25JP¥4,578.00
JP¥4,353.75
-4.9%
12.7%JP¥5,200.00JP¥3,500.00n/a8
Mar ’25JP¥4,423.00
JP¥4,190.00
-5.3%
10.7%JP¥4,800.00JP¥3,500.00n/a7
Feb ’25JP¥3,754.00
JP¥3,885.71
+3.5%
11.8%JP¥4,800.00JP¥3,500.00n/a7
Jan ’25JP¥3,776.00
JP¥3,900.00
+3.3%
12.6%JP¥4,800.00JP¥3,500.00n/a6
Dec ’24JP¥3,913.00
JP¥3,771.43
-3.6%
14.7%JP¥4,800.00JP¥3,000.00n/a7
Nov ’24JP¥4,011.00
JP¥3,771.43
-6.0%
14.7%JP¥4,800.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥4,799.007
Oct ’24JP¥3,545.00
JP¥3,497.14
-1.3%
15.5%JP¥4,300.00JP¥2,900.00JP¥5,254.007
Sep ’24JP¥3,544.00
JP¥3,454.29
-2.5%
14.1%JP¥4,300.00JP¥2,900.00JP¥4,977.007
Aug ’24JP¥3,432.00
JP¥3,203.75
-6.7%
19.4%JP¥4,300.00JP¥2,350.00JP¥4,712.008
Jul ’24JP¥3,112.00
JP¥2,856.25
-8.2%
15.1%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,200.00JP¥4,745.008
Jun ’24JP¥2,904.00
JP¥2,737.50
-5.7%
16.6%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,200.00JP¥4,635.008
May ’24JP¥2,476.00
JP¥2,502.50
+1.1%
7.9%JP¥2,850.00JP¥2,200.00JP¥4,677.008
Apr ’24JP¥2,382.00
JP¥2,502.50
+5.1%
7.9%JP¥2,850.00JP¥2,200.00JP¥4,578.008
Mar ’24JP¥2,429.00
JP¥2,546.25
+4.8%
6.0%JP¥2,800.00JP¥2,350.00JP¥4,423.008
Feb ’24JP¥2,126.00
JP¥2,515.00
+18.3%
6.2%JP¥2,800.00JP¥2,350.00JP¥3,754.008
Jan ’24JP¥1,916.00
JP¥2,565.00
+33.9%
6.2%JP¥2,800.00JP¥2,370.00JP¥3,776.008
Dec ’23JP¥2,271.00
JP¥2,602.50
+14.6%
7.5%JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,370.00JP¥3,913.008
Nov ’23JP¥2,395.00
JP¥2,631.25
+9.9%
6.6%JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,400.00JP¥4,011.008

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

Discover undervalued companies

Kaneka

JP¥215.7b

Engages in the manufacture and sale of polyvinyl chloride (PVC), crosslinked PVC, PVC-PVAc polymers, paste PVC, acryl grafted-vinyl chloride copolymer, and chlorinated PVC in Japan and internationally.

4118

JP¥3,428.00

7D

0.5%

1Y

-8.4%

Tokuyama

JP¥190.5b

Produces and sells various chemical products in Japan.

4043

JP¥2,648.00

7D

0.9%

1Y

11.6%

Daicel

JP¥366.8b

Engages in the materials, medical/healthcare, smart, safety, engineering plastics, and other businesses in Japan, China, and internationally.

4202

JP¥1,352.00

7D

1.1%

1Y

-4.7%