Stock Analysis

3 Japanese Stocks That Could Be Trading Up To 49.8% Below Intrinsic Value

TSE:2170
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Japan's stock markets have recently experienced notable declines, with the Nikkei 225 Index down 5.8% and the broader TOPIX Index registering a 4.2% loss, driven by a U.S.-led sell-off in semiconductor stocks and yen strength impacting export-oriented companies. Despite these challenges, opportunities may exist for discerning investors to identify undervalued stocks that are trading below their intrinsic value. In such market conditions, identifying good stocks involves looking for companies with strong fundamentals that are temporarily overlooked or undervalued by the market.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Japan

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Hagiwara Electric Holdings (TSE:7467)¥3505.00¥6826.4148.7%
Kotobuki Spirits (TSE:2222)¥1750.50¥3434.7349%
Avant Group (TSE:3836)¥2013.00¥4008.9549.8%
Taiyo Yuden (TSE:6976)¥3112.00¥6137.2949.3%
Infomart (TSE:2492)¥322.00¥619.6648%
Ohara (TSE:5218)¥1363.00¥2617.9147.9%
KeePer Technical Laboratory (TSE:6036)¥4060.00¥7903.2748.6%
SHIFT (TSE:3697)¥11825.00¥23405.3049.5%
CIRCULATIONLtd (TSE:7379)¥661.00¥1285.4548.6%
TORIDOLL Holdings (TSE:3397)¥3534.00¥6680.2247.1%

Click here to see the full list of 86 stocks from our Undervalued Japanese Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Below we spotlight a couple of our favorites from our exclusive screener.

JAC Recruitment (TSE:2124)

Overview: JAC Recruitment Co., Ltd. operates as a recruitment consultancy business in Japan and has a market cap of ¥126.11 billion.

Operations: JAC Recruitment Co., Ltd. generates revenue primarily through its recruitment consultancy services in Japan, with a market cap of ¥126.11 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 35%

JAC Recruitment is trading at 35% below its estimated fair value of ¥1214.95, making it an attractive option for those seeking undervalued stocks based on cash flows. Earnings are forecast to grow by 18.1% annually, outpacing the JP market's 8.6%. Despite recent lowered earnings guidance and a share repurchase program worth ¥2 billion, the company maintains a reliable dividend yield of 3.29%.

TSE:2124 Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2024
TSE:2124 Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2024

Link and Motivation (TSE:2170)

Overview: Link and Motivation Inc., with a market cap of ¥61.33 billion, provides consulting and cloud services in Japan.

Operations: The company's revenue segments include the Matching Division with ¥15.92 billion, Individual Development Division generating ¥6.48 billion, and Organization Development Division contributing ¥13.49 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 45.9%

Link and Motivation is trading at ¥576, approximately 46% below its estimated fair value of ¥1064.75, indicating significant undervaluation based on cash flows. Earnings are projected to grow by 17% annually, outpacing the JP market's 8.6%, with a high forecasted return on equity of 28.8%. Despite recent share buybacks totaling ¥796.83 million and dividend affirmations, the stock has shown high volatility over the past three months.

TSE:2170 Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2024
TSE:2170 Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2024

Avant Group (TSE:3836)

Overview: Avant Group Corporation, with a market cap of ¥73.23 billion, operates through its subsidiaries to offer accounting, business intelligence, and outsourcing services.

Operations: The company's revenue segments are Management Solutions Business (¥8.52 billion), Digital Transformation Promotion Business (¥8.85 billion), and Consolidated Financial Statements Disclosure Business (¥7.54 billion).

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 49.8%

Avant Group is trading at ¥2013, significantly below its estimated fair value of ¥4008.95, indicating substantial undervaluation based on cash flows. The company forecasts robust revenue growth of 15.8% per year and earnings growth of 17.87% annually, both outpacing the JP market averages. Recent corporate actions include a dividend increase to ¥19.00 per share and a share buyback totaling ¥477.64 million, enhancing shareholder value amidst strong financial performance projections for FY2025.

TSE:3836 Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2024
TSE:3836 Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2024

Summing It All Up

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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