The board of Seven Bank, Ltd. (TSE:8410) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 2nd of December, with investors receiving ¥5.50 per share. This payment means that the dividend yield will be 3.7%, which is around the industry average.
Seven Bank's Payment Expected To Have Solid Earnings Coverage
Solid dividend yields are great, but they only really help us if the payment is sustainable.
Having distributed dividends for at least 10 years, Seven Bank has a long history of paying out a part of its earnings to shareholders. Past distributions do not necessarily guarantee future ones, but Seven Bank's payout ratio of 72% is a good sign as this means that earnings decently cover dividends.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 11.3%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the future payout ratio will be 56%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
Check out our latest analysis for Seven Bank
Seven Bank Has A Solid Track Record
Even over a long history of paying dividends, the company's distributions have been remarkably stable. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥8.00 in 2015, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥11.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 3.2% per annum over that time. Although we can't deny that the dividend has been remarkably stable in the past, the growth has been pretty muted.
Seven Bank May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend
Investors who have held shares in the company for the past few years will be happy with the dividend income they have received. Unfortunately things aren't as good as they seem. Over the past five years, it looks as though Seven Bank's EPS has declined at around 3.3% a year. If earnings continue declining, the company may have to make the difficult choice of reducing the dividend or even stopping it completely - the opposite of dividend growth. However, the next year is actually looking up, with earnings set to rise. We would just wait until it becomes a pattern before getting too excited.
Our Thoughts On Seven Bank's Dividend
Overall, a consistent dividend is a good thing, and we think that Seven Bank has the ability to continue this into the future. The earnings coverage is acceptable for now, but with earnings on the decline we would definitely keep an eye on the payout ratio. The dividend looks okay, but there have been some issues in the past, so we would be a little bit cautious.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. As an example, we've identified 1 warning sign for Seven Bank that you should be aware of before investing. Is Seven Bank not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.