Seven Bank Valuation

Is 8410 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 8410 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 8410 (¥313.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥373.49)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 8410 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 8410?

Key metric: As 8410 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 8410. This is calculated by dividing 8410's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 8410's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio35.6x
EarningsJP¥10.30b
Market CapJP¥366.54b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 8410's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 8410 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.4x
8341 77 Bank
10.6x10.8%JP¥338.6b
7337 Hirogin Holdings
12x14.3%JP¥354.5b
8334 Gunma Bank
10.4x6.9%JP¥408.0b
8418 Yamaguchi Financial Group
12.6x14.9%JP¥350.9b
8410 Seven Bank
35.6x21.1%JP¥366.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 8410 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.6x) compared to the peer average (11.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 8410's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Banks Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
8410 35.6xIndustry Avg. 10.3xNo. of Companies16PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 8410 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.6x) compared to the JP Banks industry average (10.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 8410's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

8410 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio35.6x
Fair PE Ratio13.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 8410 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 8410 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥313.30
JP¥298.75
-4.6%
12.5%JP¥350.00JP¥250.00n/a4
Dec ’25JP¥328.60
JP¥292.50
-11.0%
12.4%JP¥350.00JP¥250.00n/a4
Nov ’25JP¥320.40
JP¥292.50
-8.7%
12.4%JP¥350.00JP¥250.00n/a4
Oct ’25JP¥288.20
JP¥292.50
+1.5%
12.4%JP¥350.00JP¥250.00n/a4
Sep ’25JP¥287.90
JP¥292.50
+1.6%
12.4%JP¥350.00JP¥250.00n/a4
Aug ’25JP¥278.40
JP¥292.50
+5.1%
12.4%JP¥350.00JP¥250.00n/a4
Jul ’25JP¥271.30
JP¥295.00
+8.7%
12.1%JP¥350.00JP¥250.00n/a4
Jun ’25JP¥264.90
JP¥301.25
+13.7%
12.1%JP¥350.00JP¥250.00n/a4
May ’25JP¥281.00
JP¥301.25
+7.2%
12.1%JP¥350.00JP¥250.00n/a4
Apr ’25JP¥296.00
JP¥301.25
+1.8%
12.1%JP¥350.00JP¥250.00n/a4
Mar ’25JP¥299.70
JP¥307.50
+2.6%
13.1%JP¥350.00JP¥250.00n/a4
Feb ’25JP¥307.50
JP¥307.50
0%
13.1%JP¥350.00JP¥250.00n/a4
Jan ’25JP¥299.70
JP¥307.50
+2.6%
13.1%JP¥350.00JP¥250.00n/a4
Dec ’24JP¥303.70
JP¥301.25
-0.8%
12.1%JP¥350.00JP¥250.00JP¥328.604
Nov ’24JP¥306.50
JP¥301.25
-1.7%
12.1%JP¥350.00JP¥250.00JP¥320.404
Oct ’24JP¥310.90
JP¥296.25
-4.7%
10.2%JP¥330.00JP¥250.00JP¥288.204
Sep ’24JP¥312.80
JP¥296.25
-5.3%
10.2%JP¥330.00JP¥250.00JP¥287.904
Aug ’24JP¥302.00
JP¥296.25
-1.9%
10.2%JP¥330.00JP¥250.00JP¥278.404
Jul ’24JP¥283.10
JP¥288.75
+2.0%
11.9%JP¥330.00JP¥250.00JP¥271.304
Jun ’24JP¥273.00
JP¥278.75
+2.1%
11.1%JP¥330.00JP¥250.00JP¥264.904
May ’24JP¥276.00
JP¥278.75
+1.0%
11.1%JP¥330.00JP¥250.00JP¥281.004
Apr ’24JP¥265.00
JP¥263.75
-0.5%
11.0%JP¥300.00JP¥220.00JP¥296.004
Mar ’24JP¥275.00
JP¥263.75
-4.1%
11.0%JP¥300.00JP¥220.00JP¥299.704
Feb ’24JP¥265.00
JP¥262.50
-0.9%
10.9%JP¥300.00JP¥220.00JP¥307.504
Jan ’24JP¥262.00
JP¥260.00
-0.8%
11.2%JP¥300.00JP¥220.00JP¥299.704
Dec ’23JP¥257.00
JP¥260.00
+1.2%
11.2%JP¥300.00JP¥220.00JP¥303.704

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/28 23:02
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Seven Bank, Ltd. is covered by 12 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Shinichiro NakamuraBofA Global Research
null nullDaiwa Securities Co. Ltd.
Ken MatsudaDaiwa Securities Co. Ltd.