Stock Analysis

Insufficient Growth At Toyota Motor Corporation (TSE:7203) Hampers Share Price

TSE:7203
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Toyota Motor Corporation's (TSE:7203) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.1x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Japan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 14x and even P/E's above 22x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Recent earnings growth for Toyota Motor has been in line with the market. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this modest earnings performance may begin to slide. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Toyota Motor

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:7203 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 31st 2025
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Toyota Motor.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Toyota Motor's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 11% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 45% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 1.8% each year over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 10% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we can see why Toyota Motor is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Final Word

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Toyota Motor maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Toyota Motor (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSE:7203

Toyota Motor

Designs, manufactures, assembles, and sells passenger vehicles, minivans and commercial vehicles, and related parts and accessories in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, Central and South America, Oceania, Africa, and the Middle East.

Good value with proven track record and pays a dividend.