We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Toyota Motor Valuation

Is 7203 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

[object Object] Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 7203?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

7203 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA12.2x
PEG Ratio1.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 7203's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 7203 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.1x
7267 Honda Motor
8.6x7.6%JP¥5.7t
7269 Suzuki Motor
13.5x6.8%JP¥2.4t
7201 Nissan Motor
17.2x21.3%JP¥1.9t
7270 Subaru
17x6.5%JP¥1.8t
7203 Toyota Motor
10.9x5.6%JP¥27.3t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 7203 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.9x) compared to the peer average (14.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 7203's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Auto Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.4%
n/an/an/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 7203 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.9x) compared to the Asian Auto industry average (15.8x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 7203's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

7203 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.9x
Fair PE Ratio15x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 7203 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15x).


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 7203 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 7203 (¥1998.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥660.35)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 7203 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 7203 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥1,971.00
JP¥2,291.67
+16.3%
9.8%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,700.00n/a18
Nov ’23JP¥2,019.50
JP¥2,323.68
+15.1%
9.2%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,800.00n/a19
Oct ’23JP¥1,876.00
JP¥2,428.95
+29.5%
7.9%JP¥2,800.00JP¥1,800.00n/a19
Sep ’23JP¥2,052.50
JP¥2,445.79
+19.2%
7.2%JP¥2,800.00JP¥2,000.00n/a19
Aug ’23JP¥2,212.00
JP¥2,462.22
+11.3%
7.5%JP¥2,800.00JP¥2,000.00n/a18
Jul ’23JP¥2,067.00
JP¥2,481.11
+20.0%
5.8%JP¥2,800.00JP¥2,220.00n/a18
Jun ’23JP¥2,197.50
JP¥2,449.47
+11.5%
7.4%JP¥2,700.00JP¥2,100.00n/a19
May ’23JP¥2,235.50
JP¥2,426.11
+8.5%
8.5%JP¥2,750.00JP¥2,000.00n/a18
Apr ’23JP¥2,205.00
JP¥2,423.33
+9.9%
10.3%JP¥2,750.00JP¥1,900.00n/a18
Mar ’23JP¥2,133.00
JP¥2,447.89
+14.8%
11.2%JP¥2,800.00JP¥1,900.00n/a19
Feb ’23JP¥2,227.00
JP¥2,437.37
+9.4%
12.0%JP¥2,800.00JP¥1,900.00n/a19
Jan ’23JP¥2,105.50
JP¥2,387.37
+13.4%
10.8%JP¥2,750.00JP¥1,900.00n/a19
Dec ’22JP¥2,045.50
JP¥2,368.50
+15.8%
10.5%JP¥2,750.00JP¥1,900.00JP¥1,998.5020
Nov ’22JP¥2,050.00
JP¥2,255.00
+10.0%
11.6%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,840.00JP¥2,019.5020
Oct ’22JP¥1,967.00
JP¥2,247.89
+14.3%
11.6%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,840.00JP¥1,876.0019
Sep ’22JP¥1,930.40
JP¥2,255.79
+16.9%
11.6%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,840.00JP¥2,052.5019
Aug ’22JP¥1,961.00
JP¥2,184.21
+11.4%
12.5%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,620.00JP¥2,212.0019
Jul ’22JP¥1,938.00
JP¥2,097.89
+8.3%
14.1%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,520.00JP¥2,067.0019
Jun ’22JP¥1,884.60
JP¥1,960.00
+4.0%
11.0%JP¥2,340.00JP¥1,520.00JP¥2,197.5019
May ’22JP¥1,625.40
JP¥1,894.74
+16.6%
11.6%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,520.00JP¥2,235.5019
Apr ’22JP¥1,684.60
JP¥1,825.50
+8.4%
14.7%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,120.00JP¥2,205.0020
Mar ’22JP¥1,585.00
JP¥1,727.05
+9.0%
13.4%JP¥2,040.00JP¥1,120.00JP¥2,133.0019
Feb ’22JP¥1,458.80
JP¥1,622.11
+11.2%
12.8%JP¥1,920.00JP¥1,120.00JP¥2,227.0019
Jan ’22JP¥1,591.40
JP¥1,611.58
+1.3%
12.8%JP¥1,920.00JP¥1,120.00JP¥2,105.5019
Dec ’21JP¥1,403.60
JP¥1,586.84
+13.1%
13.6%JP¥1,880.00JP¥1,100.00JP¥2,045.5019

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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