If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after investigating ERG (BIT:ERG), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for ERG:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.049 = €238m ÷ (€5.2b - €436m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).
Therefore, ERG has an ROCE of 4.9%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Renewable Energy industry average of 7.1%.
Check out our latest analysis for ERG
Above you can see how the current ROCE for ERG compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
What Can We Tell From ERG's ROCE Trend?
There hasn't been much to report for ERG's returns and its level of capital employed because both metrics have been steady for the past five years. Businesses with these traits tend to be mature and steady operations because they're past the growth phase. So unless we see a substantial change at ERG in terms of ROCE and additional investments being made, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger. That probably explains why ERG has been paying out 62% of its earnings as dividends to shareholders. Most shareholders probably know this and own the stock for its dividend.
The Bottom Line
We can conclude that in regards to ERG's returns on capital employed and the trends, there isn't much change to report on. Although the market must be expecting these trends to improve because the stock has gained 73% over the last five years. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.
ERG does have some risks though, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for ERG that you might be interested in.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if ERG might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BIT:ERG
ERG
Through its subsidiaries, engages in the production of energy through renewable sources in Italy, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, Poland, Bulgaria, Sweden, Romania, and Spain.
Solid track record established dividend payer.