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ERG S.p.A.BIT:ERG Stock Report

Market Cap €3.4b
Share Price
€23.32
€20
16.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
1Y29.5%
7D2.0%
Portfolio Value
View

ERG S.p.A.

BIT:ERG Stock Report

Market Cap: €3.4b

ERG (ERG) Stock Overview

Through its subsidiaries, produces energy through renewable sources in Italy, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, Poland, Bulgaria, Sweden, Romania, the United States of America, and Spain. More details

ERG fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation0/6
Future Growth3/6
Past Performance1/6
Financial Health3/6
Dividends4/6

ERG Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 21 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

ERG S.p.A. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for ERG
Historical stock prices
Current Share Price€23.32
52 Week High€26.18
52 Week Low€16.72
Beta0.69
1 Month Change3.64%
3 Month Change0.95%
1 Year Change29.48%
3 Year Change-16.18%
5 Year Change-2.43%
Change since IPO562.83%

Recent News & Updates

Recent updates

Analysis Article Feb 12

ERG (BIT:ERG) Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share Price

Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...
Narrative Update Feb 06

ERG: Lower Discount Rate And Higher Margins Will Shape Fair Near-Term Outlook

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for ERG from $23.43 to $23.90, citing updated assumptions for discount rates, profit margins and future P/E that they see as better reflecting the company’s risk profile and earnings power. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for March 11, 2026 to review and approve ERG S.p.A.'s consolidated financial statements and draft financial statements as of December 31, 2025 (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Jan 23

ERG: Slight P/E Adjustment Will Sustain Concern Over Stretchy Share Pricing

Analysts have trimmed their price target on ERG by a modest amount, citing slightly higher discount rate and revenue growth assumptions alongside a small adjustment to future P/E expectations. Together, these changes fine tune their valuation rather than signal a major shift in view.
Narrative Update Jan 09

ERG: Lower Margin Outlook Will Pressure Returns Despite Reduced Discount Rate

Analysts have kept their ERG fair value target steady at $20.00, with the latest adjustment reflecting updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, rather than a shift in their overall price view. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for March 11, 2026, to review and approve ERG S.p.A.'s consolidated financial statements and draft financial statements as of December 31, 2025 (Key Developments).
Analysis Article Dec 30

ERG (BIT:ERG) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
Narrative Update Dec 15

ERG: Discount Rate Shift And Modest Margin Pressure Will Shape Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target on ERG by 0.50 to 20.00, citing slightly stronger expected revenue growth and a modestly lower discount rate, which more than offset a small reduction in projected profit margins. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Raised slightly from €19.50 to €20.00 per share, reflecting a modest uplift in intrinsic valuation.
Narrative Update Nov 30

ERG: Lower Discount Rate And Higher P/E Will Shape Near-Term Performance

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for ERG by $0.60 to $23.43. This change reflects adjustments in discount rates and expectations for future growth and profitability.
Analysis Article Nov 26

Some May Be Optimistic About ERG's (BIT:ERG) Earnings

Shareholders appeared unconcerned with ERG S.p.A.'s ( BIT:ERG ) lackluster earnings report last week. We think that the...
Analysis Article Nov 24

Is ERG S.p.A. (BIT:ERG) Expensive For A Reason? A Look At Its Intrinsic Value

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, ERG fair value estimate is €16.00 ERG is estimated to be 35...
Narrative Update Nov 16

ERG: Shifts In Discount Rate And P/E Ratio Will Influence Future Stability

Analysts have raised their price target for ERG from $22.58 to $22.83, citing small shifts in the discount rate and projected future price-to-earnings ratios as supporting factors for the update. Valuation Changes Fair Value has increased slightly from €22.58 to €22.83.
Analysis Article Oct 31

Slowing Rates Of Return At ERG (BIT:ERG) Leave Little Room For Excitement

To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Firstly, we'd want to...
Analysis Article Sep 17

ERG (BIT:ERG) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to...
Analysis Article Aug 06

ERG S.p.A. Recorded A 5.5% Miss On Revenue: Analysts Are Revisiting Their Models

As you might know, ERG S.p.A. ( BIT:ERG ) recently reported its second-quarter numbers. Results look mixed - while...
Analysis Article Jul 07

Estimating The Fair Value Of ERG S.p.A. (BIT:ERG)

Key Insights The projected fair value for ERG is €17.65 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity ERG's €18.98 share...
Analysis Article Jun 16

We Think ERG (BIT:ERG) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Analysis Article May 18

The ERG S.p.A. (BIT:ERG) First-Quarter Results Are Out And Analysts Have Published New Forecasts

The quarterly results for ERG S.p.A. ( BIT:ERG ) were released last week, making it a good time to revisit its...
Analysis Article May 08

Returns On Capital At ERG (BIT:ERG) Have Hit The Brakes

If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. In a perfect world, we'd like to see...
Analysis Article Mar 15

ERG S.p.A. Just Missed EPS By 5.5%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

The analysts might have been a bit too bullish on ERG S.p.A. ( BIT:ERG ), given that the company fell short of...
Analysis Article Mar 03

Estimating The Fair Value Of ERG S.p.A. (BIT:ERG)

Key Insights ERG's estimated fair value is €19.59 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With €18.27 share price...
Analysis Article Feb 13

ERG (BIT:ERG) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Analysis Article Jan 25

Pinning Down ERG S.p.A.'s (BIT:ERG) P/E Is Difficult Right Now

With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 14x in Italy, you could be forgiven for feeling...
Analysis Article Jan 07

Returns At ERG (BIT:ERG) Are On The Way Up

What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Typically...
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New Narrative Dec 31

Global Expansion And Tactical PPAs With Tier 1 Corporates Will Drive Revenue Growth And Boost Earnings

Strategic investments and new assets aim to bolster future revenue through expanded capacity and repowering efforts.
Analysis Article Nov 22

Shareholders Can Be Confident That ERG's (BIT:ERG) Earnings Are High Quality

Even though ERG S.p.A.'s ( BIT:ERG ) recent earnings release was robust, the market didn't seem to notice. We think...
Analysis Article Nov 02

Does ERG (BIT:ERG) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Analysis Article Oct 10

Getting In Cheap On ERG S.p.A. (BIT:ERG) Is Unlikely

With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 14x in Italy, you could be forgiven for feeling...
Analysis Article Jul 27

Returns At ERG (BIT:ERG) Are On The Way Up

If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...
Analysis Article Jul 02

Is ERG (BIT:ERG) Using Too Much Debt?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Analysis Article Apr 26

Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For ERG S.p.A. (BIT:ERG)

When close to half the companies in Italy have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 14x, you may consider ERG...
Analysis Article Apr 04

ERG's (BIT:ERG) Solid Earnings Are Supported By Other Strong Factors

ERG S.p.A. ( BIT:ERG ) just reported healthy earnings but the stock price didn't move much. Our analysis suggests that...
Analysis Article Mar 15

ERG (BIT:ERG) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Analysis Article Feb 22

Investors Met With Slowing Returns on Capital At ERG (BIT:ERG)

If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Typically, we'll want to notice a...
Analysis Article Jan 05

Investors Still Waiting For A Pull Back In ERG S.p.A. (BIT:ERG)

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 34.2x ERG S.p.A. ( BIT:ERG ) may be sending very bearish signals at the...
Analysis Article Nov 03

ERG (BIT:ERG) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger

If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven...
Analysis Article Sep 18

Is ERG (BIT:ERG) Using Too Much Debt?

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Analysis Article Jul 07

There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For ERG's (BIT:ERG) Returns On Capital

What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Firstly...
Analysis Article May 24

These 4 Measures Indicate That ERG (BIT:ERG) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
Analysis Article Apr 05

ERG (BIT:ERG) Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share Price

To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Amongst other things...
Analysis Article Feb 23

Is ERG (BIT:ERG) Using Too Much Debt?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Analysis Article Nov 22

Does ERG (BIT:ERG) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
Analysis Article Aug 16

Is ERG (BIT:ERG) Using Too Much Debt?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Analysis Article Jul 19

Do ERG's (BIT:ERG) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...
Analysis Article May 18

Upgrade: Analysts Just Made A Sizeable Increase To Their ERG S.p.A. (BIT:ERG) Forecasts

ERG S.p.A. ( BIT:ERG ) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making substantial upgrades to...
Analysis Article May 08

Does ERG (BIT:ERG) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...

Shareholder Returns

ERGIT Renewable EnergyIT Market
7D2.0%-1.5%3.6%
1Y29.5%23.0%19.5%

Return vs Industry: ERG exceeded the Italian Renewable Energy industry which returned 22.1% over the past year.

Return vs Market: ERG exceeded the Italian Market which returned 20.1% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is ERG's price volatile compared to industry and market?
ERG volatility
ERG Average Weekly Movement5.6%
Renewable Energy Industry Average Movement4.9%
Market Average Movement5.2%
10% most volatile stocks in IT Market8.2%
10% least volatile stocks in IT Market3.1%

Stable Share Price: ERG has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the Italian market.

Volatility Over Time: ERG's weekly volatility (6%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
1938660Paolo Merliwww.erg.eu

ERG S.p.A., through its subsidiaries, produces energy through renewable sources in Italy, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, Poland, Bulgaria, Sweden, Romania, the United States of America, and Spain. It also generates electricity through wind, solar, hydroelectric, and thermoelectric power plants, as well as natural gas cogeneration plants. The company was founded in 1938 and is based in Genoa, Italy.

ERG S.p.A. Fundamentals Summary

How do ERG's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
ERG fundamental statistics
Market cap€3.39b
Earnings (TTM)€91.94m
Revenue (TTM)€743.62m
36.9x
P/E Ratio
4.6x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
ERG income statement (TTM)
Revenue€743.62m
Cost of Revenue€182.72m
Gross Profit€560.90m
Other Expenses€468.96m
Earnings€91.94m

Last Reported Earnings

Dec 31, 2025

Next Earnings Date

May 15, 2026

Earnings per share (EPS)0.63
Gross Margin75.43%
Net Profit Margin12.36%
Debt/Equity Ratio117.1%

How did ERG perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

4.3%
Current Dividend Yield
158%
Payout Ratio

Does ERG pay a reliable dividends?

See ERG dividend history and benchmarks
When do you need to buy ERG by to receive an upcoming dividend?
ERG dividend dates
Ex Dividend DateMay 18 2026
Dividend Pay DateMay 20 2026
Days until Ex dividend5 days
Days until Dividend pay date7 days

Does ERG pay a reliable dividends?

See ERG dividend history and benchmarks

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/11 14:07
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/11 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

ERG S.p.A. is covered by 23 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Francesco SalaBanca Akros S.p.A. (ESN)
Tommaso MarabiniBanca Akros S.p.A. (ESN)
Francesco SalaBanca Akros S.p.A. (ESN)