When close to half the companies in Italy have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 16x, you may consider Carel Industries S.p.A. (BIT:CRL) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 43.3x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Recent times have been advantageous for Carel Industries as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for Carel Industries
How Is Carel Industries' Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Carel Industries would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 27% gain to the company's bottom line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 7.5% drop in EPS in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 4.3% during the coming year according to the six analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 23%, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's alarming that Carel Industries' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What We Can Learn From Carel Industries' P/E?
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Carel Industries' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Carel Industries with six simple checks.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BIT:CRL
Carel Industries
Designs, manufactures, markets, and distributes control and humidification solutions in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, North America, South America, and the Asia Pacific.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.
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