Stock Analysis

Intesa Sanpaolo (BIT:ISP) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of €0.0868

BIT:ISP
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The board of Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. (BIT:ISP) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 24th of May, with investors receiving €0.0868 per share. This means that the annual payment will be 6.7% of the current stock price, which is in line with the average for the industry.

Check out our latest analysis for Intesa Sanpaolo

Intesa Sanpaolo's Payment Expected To Have Solid Earnings Coverage

We like a dividend to be consistent over the long term, so checking whether it is sustainable is important.

Intesa Sanpaolo has established itself as a dividend paying company with over 10 years history of distributing earnings to shareholders. Taking data from its last earnings report, calculating for the company's payout ratio shows 71%, which means that Intesa Sanpaolo would be able to pay its last dividend without pressure on the balance sheet.

Over the next 3 years, EPS is forecast to expand by 69.4%. The future payout ratio could be 72% over that time period, according to analyst estimates, which is a good look for the future of the dividend.

historic-dividend
BIT:ISP Historic Dividend April 14th 2023

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2013, the dividend has gone from €0.05 total annually to €0.161. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 12% a year over that time. Dividends have grown rapidly over this time, but with cuts in the past we are not certain that this stock will be a reliable source of income in the future.

The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Earnings per share has been sinking by 11% over the last five years. Dividend payments are likely to come under some pressure unless EPS can pull out of the nosedive it is in. On the bright side, earnings are predicted to gain some ground over the next year, but until this turns into a pattern we wouldn't be feeling too comfortable.

Our Thoughts On Intesa Sanpaolo's Dividend

In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Intesa Sanpaolo's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. The low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, but generally we are not too happy with the payments Intesa Sanpaolo has been making. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For example, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Intesa Sanpaolo that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.