Stock Analysis

Sogefi S.p.A. (BIT:SGF) Analysts Are Pretty Bullish On The Stock After Recent Results

BIT:SGF
Source: Shutterstock

Shareholders will be ecstatic, with their stake up 46% over the past week following Sogefi S.p.A.'s (BIT:SGF) latest yearly results. It was an okay report, and revenues came in at €1.6b, approximately in line with analyst estimates leading up to the results announcement. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

Check out our latest analysis for Sogefi

earnings-and-revenue-growth
BIT:SGF Earnings and Revenue Growth February 28th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Sogefi from two analysts is for revenues of €1.67b in 2024. If met, it would imply a modest 2.3% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of €1.68b and earnings per share (EPS) of €0.44 in 2024. Overall, while the analysts have reconfirmed their revenue estimates, the consensus now no longer provides an EPS estimate. This implies that the market believes revenue is more important after these latest results.

Additionally, the consensus price target for Sogefi rose 99% to €3.83, showing a clear increase in optimism from the the analysts involved.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. The period to the end of 2024 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 2.3% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 2.0% annual growth over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 3.2% per year. So it's pretty clear that Sogefi is expected to grow slower than similar companies in the same industry.

The Bottom Line

The clear take away from these updates is that the analysts made no change to their revenue estimates for next year, with the business apparently performing in line with their models. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.

We have estimates for Sogefi from its two analysts out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Sogefi you should be aware of, and 2 of them can't be ignored.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.