Stock Analysis

Systango Technologies' (NSE:SYSTANGO) Earnings Are Of Questionable Quality

NSEI:SYSTANGO
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Despite announcing strong earnings, Systango Technologies Limited's (NSE:SYSTANGO) stock was sluggish. We did some digging and found some worrying underlying problems.

Check out our latest analysis for Systango Technologies

earnings-and-revenue-history
NSEI:SYSTANGO Earnings and Revenue History November 15th 2023

A Closer Look At Systango Technologies' Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Over the twelve months to September 2023, Systango Technologies recorded an accrual ratio of 5.40. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of ₹329m despite its profit of ₹177.7m, mentioned above. It's worth noting that Systango Technologies generated positive FCF of ₹17m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Systango Technologies.

Our Take On Systango Technologies' Profit Performance

As we discussed above, we think Systango Technologies' earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. For this reason, we think that Systango Technologies' statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you want to do dive deeper into Systango Technologies, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Systango Technologies (of which 2 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Systango Technologies' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.