Stock Analysis

If You Like EPS Growth Then Check Out AGC Networks (NSE:AGCNET) Before It's Too Late

It's only natural that many investors, especially those who are new to the game, prefer to buy shares in 'sexy' stocks with a good story, even if those businesses lose money. And in their study titled Who Falls Prey to the Wolf of Wall Street?' Leuz et. al. found that it is 'quite common' for investors to lose money by buying into 'pump and dump' schemes.

In the age of tech-stock blue-sky investing, my choice may seem old fashioned; I still prefer profitable companies like AGC Networks (NSE:AGCNET). Even if the shares are fully valued today, most capitalists would recognize its profits as the demonstration of steady value generation. Conversely, a loss-making company is yet to prove itself with profit, and eventually the sweet milk of external capital may run sour.

Check out our latest analysis for AGC Networks

How Fast Is AGC Networks Growing Its Earnings Per Share?

In business, though not in life, profits are a key measure of success; and share prices tend to reflect earnings per share (EPS). So like the hint of a smile on a face that I love, growing EPS generally makes me look twice. You can imagine, then, that it almost knocked my socks off when I realized that AGC Networks grew its EPS from ₹10.71 to ₹33.86, in one short year. Even though that growth rate is unlikely to be repeated, that looks like a breakout improvement.

I like to see top-line growth as an indication that growth is sustainable, and I look for a high earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margin to point to a competitive moat (though some companies with low margins also have moats). While we note AGC Networks's EBIT margins were flat over the last year, revenue grew by a solid 2.4% to ₹49b. That's progress.

The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time. For finer detail, click on the image.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NSEI:AGCNET Earnings and Revenue History September 14th 2021

While it's always good to see growing profits, you should always remember that a weak balance sheet could come back to bite. So check AGC Networks's balance sheet strength, before getting too excited.

Are AGC Networks Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

I like company leaders to have some skin in the game, so to speak, because it increases alignment of incentives between the people running the business, and its true owners. As a result, I'm encouraged by the fact that insiders own AGC Networks shares worth a considerable sum. Indeed, they hold ₹2.1b worth of its stock. That's a lot of money, and no small incentive to work hard. Those holdings account for over 5.4% of the company; visible skin in the game.

Does AGC Networks Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

AGC Networks's earnings have taken off like any random crypto-currency did, back in 2017. That sort of growth is nothing short of eye-catching, and the large investment held by insiders certainly brightens my view of the company. At times fast EPS growth is a sign the business has reached an inflection point; and I do like those. So yes, on this short analysis I do think it's worth considering AGC Networks for a spot on your watchlist. Even so, be aware that AGC Networks is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those can't be ignored...

You can invest in any company you want. But if you prefer to focus on stocks that have demonstrated insider buying, here is a list of companies with insider buying in the last three months.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NSEI:BBOX

Black Box

Provides information and communications technology solutions in India, the United States, and internationally.

High growth potential with solid track record.

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