Stock Analysis

Supriya Lifescience's (NSE:SUPRIYA) Shareholders May Want To Dig Deeper Than Statutory Profit

NSEI:SUPRIYA
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The recent earnings posted by Supriya Lifescience Limited (NSE:SUPRIYA) were solid, but the stock didn't move as much as we expected. However the statutory profit number doesn't tell the whole story, and we have found some factors which might be of concern to shareholders.

See our latest analysis for Supriya Lifescience

earnings-and-revenue-history
NSEI:SUPRIYA Earnings and Revenue History May 28th 2022

Zooming In On Supriya Lifescience's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

For the year to March 2022, Supriya Lifescience had an accrual ratio of 0.50. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of ₹111m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of ₹1.52b. We saw that FCF was ₹317m a year ago though, so Supriya Lifescience has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Supriya Lifescience.

Our Take On Supriya Lifescience's Profit Performance

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Supriya Lifescience didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. For this reason, we think that Supriya Lifescience's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Supriya Lifescience (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Supriya Lifescience's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.