Stock Analysis

NATCO Pharma Limited (NSE:NATCOPHARM) Surges 25% Yet Its Low P/E Is No Reason For Excitement

NSEI:NATCOPHARM
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NATCO Pharma Limited (NSE:NATCOPHARM) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 25% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 92% in the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, given about half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 32x, you may still consider NATCO Pharma as a highly attractive investment with its 14.4x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

NATCO Pharma certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for NATCO Pharma

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:NATCOPHARM Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 17th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think NATCO Pharma's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is NATCO Pharma's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, NATCO Pharma would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 232% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 170% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the ten analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 15% over the next year. With the market predicted to deliver 24% growth , the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we can see why NATCO Pharma is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On NATCO Pharma's P/E

NATCO Pharma's recent share price jump still sees its P/E sitting firmly flat on the ground. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that NATCO Pharma maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for NATCO Pharma you should know about.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether NATCO Pharma is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.