Stock Analysis

Prakash Industries Limited (NSE:PRAKASH) Soars 25% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward

NSEI:PRAKASH
Source: Shutterstock

Prakash Industries Limited (NSE:PRAKASH) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 25% gain in the last month alone. The annual gain comes to 210% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

Although its price has surged higher, Prakash Industries' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.3x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 32x and even P/E's above 59x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Prakash Industries has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Prakash Industries

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:PRAKASH Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 30th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Prakash Industries will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

Prakash Industries' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 64% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 347% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it odd that Prakash Industries is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Prakash Industries' P/E

Prakash Industries' recent share price jump still sees its P/E sitting firmly flat on the ground. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Prakash Industries currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Prakash Industries.

If you're unsure about the strength of Prakash Industries' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.