Stock Analysis

Would India Cements (NSE:INDIACEM) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

NSEI:INDIACEM
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that The India Cements Limited (NSE:INDIACEM) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for India Cements

What Is India Cements's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that India Cements had ₹28.3b of debt in September 2023, down from ₹29.7b, one year before. However, it also had ₹752.7m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹27.5b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:INDIACEM Debt to Equity History November 30th 2023

How Strong Is India Cements' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that India Cements had liabilities of ₹29.9b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹25.9b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹752.7m and ₹19.3b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹35.7b.

This deficit isn't so bad because India Cements is worth ₹72.2b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if India Cements can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, India Cements saw its revenue hold pretty steady, and it did not report positive earnings before interest and tax. While that hardly impresses, its not too bad either.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, India Cements had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost ₹3.1b at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled ₹994m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So to be blunt we think it is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for India Cements you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.