Stock Analysis

The total return for Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals (NSE:CHAMBLFERT) investors has risen faster than earnings growth over the last five years

The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But on the bright side, you can make far more than 100% on a really good stock. One great example is Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals Limited (NSE:CHAMBLFERT) which saw its share price drive 206% higher over five years. It's also good to see the share price up 33% over the last quarter.

Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 4.2%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.

View our latest analysis for Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

Over half a decade, Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals managed to grow its earnings per share at 17% a year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 25% per year, over the same period. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
NSEI:CHAMBLFERT Earnings Per Share Growth July 12th 2024

We know that Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? You could check out this free report showing analyst revenue forecasts.

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What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals the TSR over the last 5 years was 251%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 92% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 29% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals you should know about.

We will like Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Indian exchanges.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NSEI:CHAMBLFERT

Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals

Produces and sells fertilizers primarily in India.

Very undervalued with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.

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