Stock Analysis

Here's What To Make Of Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals' (NSE:CHAMBLFERT) Decelerating Rates Of Return

NSEI:CHAMBLFERT
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Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. So, when we ran our eye over Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals' (NSE:CHAMBLFERT) trend of ROCE, we liked what we saw.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.18 = ₹18b ÷ (₹190b - ₹93b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).

So, Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals has an ROCE of 18%. That's a relatively normal return on capital, and it's around the 17% generated by the Chemicals industry.

View our latest analysis for Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals

roce
NSEI:CHAMBLFERT Return on Capital Employed May 2nd 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals.

SWOT Analysis for Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals

Strength
  • Debt is well covered by earnings.
  • Dividend is in the top 25% of dividend payers in the market.
Weakness
  • Earnings declined over the past year.
Opportunity
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the Indian market.
  • Good value based on P/E ratio compared to estimated Fair P/E ratio.
Threat
  • Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow.
  • Paying a dividend but company has no free cash flows.
  • Annual revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years.

So How Is Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals' ROCE Trending?

While the current returns on capital are decent, they haven't changed much. Over the past five years, ROCE has remained relatively flat at around 18% and the business has deployed 98% more capital into its operations. 18% is a pretty standard return, and it provides some comfort knowing that Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals has consistently earned this amount. Stable returns in this ballpark can be unexciting, but if they can be maintained over the long run, they often provide nice rewards to shareholders.

On a separate but related note, it's important to know that Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals has a current liabilities to total assets ratio of 49%, which we'd consider pretty high. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.

In Conclusion...

In the end, Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals has proven its ability to adequately reinvest capital at good rates of return. And since the stock has risen strongly over the last five years, it appears the market might expect this trend to continue. So while the positive underlying trends may be accounted for by investors, we still think this stock is worth looking into further.

Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals does come with some risks though, we found 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is concerning...

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NSEI:CHAMBLFERT

Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals

Produces and sells fertilizers primarily in India.

Flawless balance sheet with solid track record and pays a dividend.

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