Stock Analysis

ICICI Lombard General Insurance Company Limited's (NSE:ICICIGI) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit

NSEI:ICICIGI
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ICICI Lombard General Insurance Company Limited's (NSE:ICICIGI) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 42.7x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 30x and even P/E's below 17x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

Recent times haven't been advantageous for ICICI Lombard General Insurance as its earnings have been rising slower than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this lacklustre earnings performance will improve markedly. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for ICICI Lombard General Insurance

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:ICICIGI Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 13th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on ICICI Lombard General Insurance will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is ICICI Lombard General Insurance's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, ICICI Lombard General Insurance would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 11% last year. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 20% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 20% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be similar to the 21% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's curious that ICICI Lombard General Insurance's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From ICICI Lombard General Insurance's P/E?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of ICICI Lombard General Insurance's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for ICICI Lombard General Insurance you should know about.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than ICICI Lombard General Insurance. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.