Robust Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Kriti Nutrients (NSE:KRITINUT)
Unsurprisingly, Kriti Nutrients Limited's (NSE:KRITINUT) stock price was strong on the back of its healthy earnings report. However, our analysis suggests that shareholders may be missing some factors that indicate the earnings result was not as good as it looked.
Check out the opportunities and risks within the IN Food industry.
Examining Cashflow Against Kriti Nutrients' Earnings
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
Over the twelve months to September 2022, Kriti Nutrients recorded an accrual ratio of 0.23. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of ₹111m despite its profit of ₹159.6m, mentioned above. We also note that Kriti Nutrients' free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of ₹111m.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Kriti Nutrients.
Our Take On Kriti Nutrients' Profit Performance
Kriti Nutrients' accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Kriti Nutrients' true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. The silver lining is that its EPS growth over the last year has been really wonderful, even if it's not a perfect measure. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Be aware that Kriti Nutrients is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis and 3 of those shouldn't be ignored...
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Kriti Nutrients' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:KRITINUT
Kriti Nutrients
Manufactures and sells soyabean seeds under the Kriti brand in India and internationally.
Outstanding track record with flawless balance sheet and pays a dividend.