Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Cantabil Retail India (NSE:CANTABIL) Is Using Debt Extensively

NSEI:CANTABIL
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Cantabil Retail India Limited (NSE:CANTABIL) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Cantabil Retail India

What Is Cantabil Retail India's Debt?

As you can see below, Cantabil Retail India had ₹507.0m of debt, at September 2020, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had ₹71.5m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹435.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:CANTABIL Debt to Equity History January 31st 2021

How Strong Is Cantabil Retail India's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Cantabil Retail India had liabilities of ₹1.11b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹2.16b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had ₹71.5m in cash and ₹60.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹3.13b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because Cantabil Retail India is worth ₹6.06b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Cantabil Retail India has a very low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.64 so it is strange to see weak interest coverage, with last year's EBIT being only 1.2 times the interest expense. So one way or the other, it's clear the debt levels are not trivial. Unfortunately, Cantabil Retail India's EBIT flopped 16% over the last four quarters. If earnings continue to decline at that rate then handling the debt will be more difficult than taking three children under 5 to a fancy pants restaurant. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Cantabil Retail India's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Cantabil Retail India created free cash flow amounting to 16% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

To be frank both Cantabil Retail India's EBIT growth rate and its track record of covering its interest expense with its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its net debt to EBITDA is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Cantabil Retail India's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Cantabil Retail India (at least 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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